🔮 Josh Scigala

Prediction history from The Bitcoin Group transcripts

88
Total
51
Correct
37
Wrong
58.0%
Accuracy

All Predictions

#475 2025-12-20 ▲ Higher
"One more question, Josh, from the audience, they say, what about the four-year cycle? Everyone's saying that the four-year cycle in Bitcoin is broken now, which either means bad things because it doesn't react to the supply going down 50%, which I th"
$88,648 → $87,887 (-0.9%)
#475 2025-12-20 ▼ Lower
"Altcoin blockchains are preparing for long term quantum risk while influential Bitcoin voices agree over how and when it should be addressed. Josh, a goal of what do you think about the Bitcoin's reaction to quantum, Bitcoin quantum computing as it s"
$88,648 → $87,887 (-0.9%)
#474 2025-12-13 ▲ Higher
"Josh Shagalla, higher or lower? I think we're going to have a proper correction because under nine, it's been going up and above 90k for a little while. So I think unfortunately we're going to have a proper correction probably down to like 80, 70 if "
$88,170 → $88,648 (+0.5%)
#447 2025-03-22 ▼ Lower
"And that is the free markets. Well, and I think that's the example right there at Josh wants a government that's more like a business, more responsive to people's needs and Ben wants it to slow down and think about the consequences. And I think we're"
$86,092 → $82,380 (-4.3%)
#447 2025-03-22 ▲ Higher
"This is this this would be this would be my what I would say to the idea of monopolies. So I think a monopoly obviously skewers of free market and Josh is saying that you can't have free can't have a monopoly but I mean the game when monopoly was was"
$86,092 → $82,380 (-4.3%)
#435 2024-12-21 ▲ Higher
"It sounds like Josh, he's going to jail for a contemptive court. So I think this is probably when he faked the evidence, allegedly, I suppose. But yeah, there have to be penalties for bringing malicious lawsuits for misusing the legal system, as I be"
$95,099 → $93,565 (-1.6%)
#432 2024-11-23 ▲ Higher
"Well it's interesting Ben I read an article in the Atlantic recently where they talked about how people are getting the wrong message from dystopian movies, their movies that are clearly anti dystopia and people watching them and coming out of them b"
$98,018 → $97,276 (-0.8%)
#430 2024-11-09 ▲ Higher
"So I think people who watch this channel and the NFTs the sneakers the watches pretty much everything he sold recently has done very well in the initial sales if sales is your only brawmater for quality Josh the goal of what do you think about the Bi"
$80,429 → $89,877 (+11.8%)
#430 2024-11-09 ▲ Higher
"And so I think it's like it's a political belief or whatever just to get votes or to further political career so you just can't this is this is like it's an anti politician vote isn't it like the people who vote for Trump. And I think that's also an "
$80,429 → $89,877 (+11.8%)
#412 2024-06-15 ▲ Higher
"And now I really agree with Josh. I think that they're waiting until September so that they can get their investments lined up so that they can make sure that you sell your Ethereum to them and all these other things. And you'll be forced to do it."
$66,632 → $63,181 (-5.2%)
#412 2024-06-15 ▲ Higher
"The first like hardcore hate negative fan base that happened because, yeah, a coin that a celebrity released it really badly. And I think we're in a really unique time, Josh, where the traditional celebrities who've built up their influence through m"
$66,632 → $63,181 (-5.2%)
#408 2024-05-18 ▲ Higher
"But I agree with Josh. I think that the AIs are going to make it easier and easier for people to make things like mixers and that it's going to be you're going to have to spin it up. You're going to download the code on your computer."
$66,268 → $68,488 (+3.4%)
#408 2024-05-18 ▲ Higher
"Thank you for coming to my tent. I think going going back to what Josh is saying about tour and how the governments came together and said, we as a group could use a private system that would help us. Similarly, I think there's a need for privacy and"
$66,268 → $68,488 (+3.4%)
#405 2024-04-27 ▲ Higher
"It really does seem like it's designed to do that Josh and you feel kind of crazy from the very beginning I remember when he went from 25 to 12 and a half Bitcoin for block reward and you're looking at the chart and you're like well it keeps going do"
$63,111 → $64,038 (+1.5%)
#404 2024-04-20 ▼ Lower
"Josh Chagall what do you think about the big turnaround for Jim Kramer who also I think insulted Bitcoin for years and yet is still a trusted financial advocate who could watch on TV and buy the things that he buys if you want to lose money too. Well"
$64,956 → $63,111 (-2.8%)
#401 2024-03-23 ▲ Higher
"Well and it is interesting they've updated that meme where it's pretty embarrassing for maybe Josh and I and other old Bitcoiners where it's like oh you've been in Bitcoin since 2020. You must be so rich and I think the Ryan X-Charles story here is a"
$67,208 → $71,313 (+6.1%)
#398 2024-03-02 ▲ Higher
"Josh, a goal of the price be higher or lower this time next week. I think we'll see higher. Yeah."
$63,149 → $69,024 (+9.3%)
#396 2024-02-17 ▲ Higher
"Josh, should go higher or lower? Well, I think higher, if you think higher, smash the like. If you think lower, hit down."
$52,139 → $51,728 (-0.8%)
#396 2024-02-17 ▲ Higher
"Josh, should go higher or lower? Well, I think higher, if you think higher, smash the like. If you think lower, hit down."
$52,139 → $51,728 (-0.8%)
#395 2024-02-10 ▲ Higher
"So these guys started going directly to the factories and buying the designs and then they'd sell them and they'd become rare PES and then the company sabotaged him by printing a bunch of the designs and bringing them into the collection and just the"
$48,311 → $52,139 (+7.9%)
#395 2024-02-10 ▲ Higher
"I might have been a couple I don't know but uh oh yeah because we had the Matt Damon ad and all that but we had the crypto Super Bowl a few years ago Josh and I did a show where we talked about the commercials I saw it come up the other day on the re"
$48,311 → $52,139 (+7.9%)
#390 2024-01-06 ▲ Higher
"We've pretty much recovered since last week. Since the news happened, I think we're pretty much just about above this time last week, which is going to because I think we Josh and myself also voted up for the price. So I'm happy to be finally correct"
$43,951 → $41,704 (-5.1%)
#390 2024-01-06 ▲ Higher
"As Josh said, it's not really a sell the news event because the news is the swathes of liquidity that could be now into Bitcoin. But so I think we're going to be up again next week. Great to see 50k."
$43,951 → $41,704 (-5.1%)
#390 2024-01-06 ▼ Lower
"What what's controversial about that it's just that's just insane maybe the SEC's like we're annoyed because then people won't be scammed and if they're not scammed the SEC won't be able to then find companies and keep the money find money for themse"
$43,951 → $41,704 (-5.1%)
#386 2023-12-09 ▲ Higher
"So we're not seeing normal people buying. We're not seeing large scale buying as Josh and Dan said, I think it says guys with the diamond hands out there that they're not going to let any Bitcoin go so that that's tightening the supply, the have anin"
$43,792 → $41,349 (-5.6%)
#383 2023-11-18 ▲ Higher
"In the same way, these payouts may never happen as well with the IRS claiming that they should take all their money first. So I think Josh, the real sad part about this is if you were at home with your FTX coupons and you think you're going to win bi"
$37,389 → $37,460 (+0.2%)
#379 2023-10-21 ▲ Higher
"Excellent source of news it's interesting the news you get on Twitter recently I seem to be gaining all my death notices from Twitter like I didn't know Suzanne Summers was dead and someone was already like referencing it like it was old news and I w"
$30,001 → $34,535 (+15.1%)
#376 2023-09-30 ▲ Higher
"No I saw actually I actually think it makes Bitcoin security better because miners get paid for merge mining blind merge mining these are the chains which means that I mean there's no example of a blockchain being secured by fees only and if you get "
$27,995 → $27,934 (-0.2%)
#372 2023-08-25 ▲ Higher
"But still happy. Josh, I think it did go up slightly from last week, Dan. We were both positive or negative on that."
$26,010 → $25,869 (-0.6%)
#369 2023-08-08 ▲ Higher
"It would have caused them to fail. Ironically, I think members of this group for the past few years have asked Coinbase to do the same thing and have preferred Coinbase back when it was a much simpler exchange where you could only buy Bitcoin. Josh S"
$29,566 → $28,703 (-2.9%)
#368 2023-07-29 ▼ Lower
"I'm on a fit now, down. I think it's going to be slightly lower. Josh Shigala."
$29,283 → $29,046 (-0.8%)
#365 2023-07-01 ▲ Higher
"You go to a conference or you go to meet up and there's just this incredible wealth of talent and people who really know what they're talking about when it comes to Bitcoin and that didn't used to be the case a few years ago, just the people are so w"
$30,618 → $30,171 (-1.5%)
#365 2023-07-01 ▲ Higher
"I think it's very encouraging and in the article is said that it doesn't necessarily mean that the price would go up. If there was a limited supply, they were shorter to Bitcoin on the market, but I think that's nonsense is supply and demand, the bas"
$30,618 → $30,171 (-1.5%)
#365 2023-07-01 ▲ Higher
"It does look really bad when a casino goes out of business it's a real Taj Mahal situation Josh Jagala who's better or worse for Bitcoin Michael sailor with his ability to sell everything all at one time to buy the New York Yankees or CZ who's runnin"
$30,618 → $30,171 (-1.5%)
#359 2023-05-20 ▲ Higher
"It's definitely it seems like it's a good time to be to be edging in we're probably due another another little dump like at some point right you know it's that's just what happens on the on the run up to a ball run but if they they hold until post ba"
$26,755 → $28,078 (+4.9%)
#357 2023-05-06 ▲ Higher
"The city plazas the airport the city landmarks and now they say there's neither the Bitcoin city project nor is there knowledge of it Josh a go what happened to the dream the volcano powered dream of Bitcoin. Vaporware you know it's a thing I look yo"
$28,573 → $26,931 (-5.7%)
#357 2023-05-06 ▲ Higher
"But you know you're like we said before government you're going to trust the private keys to some vault to some computer guys probably smarter than you anyway I'm pretty sure Josh would agree all those bitcoins will leave and you know somebody's brie"
$28,573 → $26,931 (-5.7%)
#348 2023-03-03 ▼ Lower
"So it has its cons and pros. I think it's ridiculous that MIT of all places don't put a few more brain cells together, so for me it's an obvious, another little hit piece to try to bring down. Do I have to come on here and defend my former employer, "
$22,353 → $20,614 (-7.8%)
#342 2023-01-20 ▲ Higher
"All right higher optimism Josh Shagall a more optimism. Yeah, I think higher you know that one of the things that I saw with this whole DCG thing is that they're very close to the whole FTX Tether stuff suddenly billions of Tethers been been pumped i"
$22,790 → $23,031 (+1.1%)
#342 2023-01-20 ▲ Higher
"All right higher optimism Josh Shagall a more optimism. Yeah, I think higher you know that one of the things that I saw with this whole DCG thing is that they're very close to the whole FTX Tether stuff suddenly billions of Tethers been been pumped i"
$22,790 → $23,031 (+1.1%)
#341 2023-01-13 ▲ Higher
"I'm going to agree with Josh. I think they will break up the digital currency group. I think it'll be good for Bitcoin, but special bonus prediction, bad for CoinDesk."
$20,955 → $22,790 (+8.8%)
#339 2022-12-30 ▼ Lower
"He's definitely been around a long time, Josh. I think he lost money in the original dot com downturn. He would have been the ones telling you to buy pets dot com."
$16,531 → $16,943 (+2.5%)
#339 2022-12-30 ▲ Higher
"What he lost his job, you know, I think the guy deserves a little bit more sort of heavy handed stuff than just losing his job. I mean, yeah, so I think I hope what will happen through these court cases and through the Twitter files and through all o"
$16,531 → $16,943 (+2.5%)
#339 2022-12-30 ▲ Higher
"I mean, yeah, so I think I hope what will happen through these court cases and through the Twitter files and through all of the stuff that's happening that we start to get some real deep understanding of how far the tentacles of FTX went and as well,"
$16,531 → $16,943 (+2.5%)
#328 2022-10-14 ▲ Higher
"I think Josh is right. I think there are a couple of people who will notice it. Notice the amount of Bitcoin going down."
$19,070 → $19,208 (+0.7%)
#328 2022-10-14 ▲ Higher
"Joshua should go higher or lower. I think this rate, Bitcoin will experience a little up to its value. Oh, it's a mixed panel."
$19,070 → $19,208 (+0.7%)
#327 2022-10-07 ▲ Higher
"Yes or no? I'm going to go, I'm going to go, yes, because I think he's still, as Josh said, he's still going to uphold the general censorship rules, especially around the leap from the legal front. So maybe that there will end up being more and up be"
$19,419 → $19,070 (-1.8%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▲ Higher
"But Josh the call which is worse it took them seven months to find out that they'd accidentally sent $10 million or it took them seven hours to realize that they had the currency set to the wrong amount and the users were fleeting them which is worse"
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▲ Higher
"I did see a report this is quite a few years ago about the difference between women and men when it comes to sunken cost fallacy sort of sunken cost stuff so men are at gambling tables are more likely just to sit there and do just go all the way till"
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▼ Lower
"And now we're going to hold on until the exit question where you must predict against the greatest predictor of Bitcoin of all time Dan Eve is the price of Bitcoin higher or lower this time next week. I'm still naked it's lower I think it's lower. Jo"
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▼ Lower
"Josh she got it as the pessimism continue the pessimism unfortunately continues I got to say I've drawn my triangles I've moved my lines I've checked the way I'm going to do it. I've done the Fibonacci and I'm all Fibonacci that I think I'm going low"
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▲ Higher
"I still love this crypto.com $10 million Australian lady I can't wait to see the movie I'm sure they'll be able to get Matt Damon involved and I can just see them kind of running around there you know perfectly normal house in Australia going we won "
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#322 2022-09-02 ▲ Higher
"Sounds great Josh and it's glad here everything's going well at the standard dot IO. Alright I think we're running out of time for this week everyone be sure to check out the podcast we're keeping it up to date so just in case you want to have the au"
$19,835 → $21,655 (+9.2%)
#319 2022-08-12 ▲ Higher
"And again, you're selling the signature, the underlying thing, which allows you to access to all of Bitcoin's incredible ability, the ability to send art across the internet, to not have to go meet this guy in a parking lot and give him the signature"
$24,450 → $21,142 (-13.5%)
#314 2022-07-01 ▲ Higher
"Rooja's not alive Josh just seconded it said she's not alive Dan Eve is Dr. Rooja alive when we ever see her cuffed in irons brought to justice uh she I think there's either concrete boots or she's she's had so much plastic surgery she looks like nei"
$19,226 → $21,582 (+12.3%)
#311 2022-06-10 ▼ Lower
"Well, it's always a good time to dollar average in. But I think I'm an agreement with Josh that I think we've got a bit lower to go. We haven't quite tested the like the $21,000."
$28,389 → $18,954 (-33.2%)
#310 2022-06-03 ▲ Higher
"So Josh Shagalla higher or lower? Yeah, I think it will be higher next week. I think J.B."
$29,845 → $28,389 (-4.9%)
#303 2022-04-15 ▲ Higher
"Yeah I mean look I've got a video on from me in 2011 on YouTube going Bitcoin is not a tulip bubble or something like that right. Because that was the constant thing that everyone went on about Bitcoin is a tulip bubble it's a tulip bubble like you k"
$40,393 → $39,446 (-2.3%)
#303 2022-04-15 ▲ Higher
"Because that was the constant thing that everyone went on about Bitcoin is a tulip bubble it's a tulip bubble like you know that that talks about the tulips in back in the day where in Holland they started trading apparently the castles and and huge "
$40,393 → $39,446 (-2.3%)
#300 2022-03-18 ▲ Higher
"Yeah, sorry, I'm a little bit like I feel quite strongly about coin mixing services and coin joins, because I think that increasing fungibility on the network is just going to be something which government's going to attack Bitcoin on by emphasizing "
$42,235 → $44,542 (+5.5%)
#297 2022-02-25 ▲ Higher
"Yeah, higher. Josh, should I go higher or lower? Higher, baby."
$39,135 → $39,407 (+0.7%)
#291 2022-01-14 ▲ Higher
"And I just look at it and I don't think there's anything they could have done better. I love all the examples I like the little joke about the dance we did we did say that it was quite you know like technically it's a good advert like the when the yo"
$43,089 → $35,076 (-18.6%)
#286 2021-12-03 ▲ Higher
"Who higher then goes with higher, Dan higher or lower. I'm going to go lower because I know if I say lower, it will go higher. Reverse psychology, Josh Tagala higher or lower."
$49,243 → $49,398 (+0.3%)
#278 2021-10-08 ▲ Higher
"I want to echo what Ben and Josh said where the Curricards are kind of different than the generative art projects it's not like a punk with a cigar or a punk with shade or he has green hair whatever there are a lot more like an artist print where you"
$54,968 → $60,878 (+10.8%)
#274 2021-09-04 ▲ Higher
"i i'm just going to go for something lame and i i'm going to say that i i don't think we are in fact way i'm going to i'm going to check that we're above 50k right now because otherwise that prediction isn't going to work very well and yeah okay righ"
$51,784 → $46,050 (-11.1%)
#273 2021-08-28 ▲ Higher
"I agree with Joshua, not only would that not work. Actually, I think that a worldwide ban on Bitcoin would just speed up its development. After an initial, maybe slight set back in sort of institutional involvement, I think that it would completely b"
$48,794 → $51,784 (+6.1%)
#263 2021-06-18 ▲ Higher
"Josh, Shagala, I'm not sure what I'm hearing here. Devils advocate, can I call up Microsoft to get help to switch to Macintosh? Why should the World Bank help El Salvador switch to Bitcoin?"
$35,515 → $32,307 (-9.0%)
#260 2021-05-28 ▼ Lower
"Josh Shagalla, the price this time next week, higher or lower. Yeah, I think we'll see a little bit of a down. Yeah, a downer."
$34,612 → $35,538 (+2.7%)
#257 2021-05-07 ▲ Higher
"I think it's pumping right now. I think coins associated with it, like what's the one, Elongate coin has been pumping the last couple of days as well, leading up to this, they're just hoping and praying that something big happens and it brings it to "
$58,943 → $46,775 (-20.6%)
#255 2021-04-23 ▲ Higher
"I agree with a lot with what Josh is saying. I think that CNBC does the same thing where when the price of Bitcoin was up last time, they put a special box on the screen. Here's the price of Bitcoin and it stuck out from the other boxes like it didn'"
$50,116 → $57,843 (+15.4%)
#255 2021-04-23 ▲ Higher
"Have many as anyone ever challenged something which has been released under MIT and then turned into a private, privately copyrighted thing? I believe that in a few cases there have been challenges to the legal effectiveness of things like the Creati"
$50,116 → $57,843 (+15.4%)
#251 2021-03-26 ▲ Higher
"Josh, Shigala, higher or lower? Yeah, I've been looking at all the technicals and I did the new show yesterday where I showcased what I think is going to happen the next couple of days. Of course, I could be wrong and everything is exactly what I sai"
$55,864 → $57,075 (+2.2%)
#249 2021-03-12 ▲ Higher
"Ben arc $2 trillion. I like what Josh said and I think it's very true as Bitcoin goes up and down and up and down and up and down but generally goes up the people who stay in Bitcoin are hard to the bedrock and then you have the sort of thinner inste"
$61,180 → $58,101 (-5.0%)
#247 2021-02-05 ▲ Higher
"While yeah, Michael sailor brings in the big money, the big brains need to be fed that keep on building on this. And I think it's such an important thing to remember that we need to support the developers of cool projects in this space. Well, and tha"
$39,267 → $47,222 (+20.3%)
#247 2021-02-05 ▲ Higher
"They're real world big entities which you're able to lobby against and ensure that they use renewables as opposed to fossil fuels. Part of the big problem for Bitcoin is being the Chinese subsidized coal power plants but the Chinese government, I thi"
$39,267 → $47,222 (+20.3%)
#242 2021-01-01 ▲ Higher
"Josh this Ripple Army or I think this is not the chiller shillers online for Ripple they analyzed that a while back so they said it was like a bit of a probably automated partly automated or otherwise orchestrated event or thing that it wasn't really"
$32,204 → $40,237 (+24.9%)
#240 2020-12-18 ▲ Higher
"All right. Well, I think this regulation was to be expected and that we're going to have this fight in the future, whether it's the Trump administration or any other administration, even though I don't support the Trump administration. Josh mentioned"
$23,845 → $26,446 (+10.9%)
#236 2020-11-20 ▲ Higher
"I suppose unless you use a wonderful services like Josh's. Kind of stepping back to a previous question or topic on Bitcoin price, I think that partly why you have such a strong price shift upwards is because you have all this built-in momentum. And "
$18,704 → $17,740 (-5.2%)
#233 2020-10-30 ▲ Higher
"So we're going to be going this time next week higher or lower than our. Hi, I mean we got what is tomorrow it's the white paper anniversary so we've got to be bullish because of that and I think this is an event as well some Bitcoin events which are"
$13,803 → $14,838 (+7.5%)
#233 2020-10-30 ▲ Higher
"I mean it was obvious like five years ago that people around us were in Bitcoin before Wall Street had flooded into Bitcoin. But it still hasn't flooded into Bitcoin a few firms have started buying up some Bitcoin you know what micro strategy being w"
$13,803 → $14,838 (+7.5%)
#232 2020-10-23 ▲ Higher
"I disagree with Josh. I think the price of Bitcoin's up because of the stock to flow model. He added a new little red dot."
$13,126 → $13,803 (+5.2%)
#218 2020-04-10 ▼ Lower
"Josh Gagala. I think they're going to go down with the burning with the Titanic. They're going to."
$6,888 → $7,264 (+5.5%)
#205 2019-09-06 ▲ Higher
"But at the end of the day, it's really businesses that will decide and bankers that will decide. I think Trump is the puppet that will send the message to the world in his funny little way of doing it. I agree with Josh."
$10,492 → $10,366 (-1.2%)
#205 2019-09-06 ▼ Lower
"Actually, there is such thing as a magic cable. So yeah, I think down. All right, Josh."
$10,492 → $10,366 (-1.2%)
#205 2019-09-06 ▼ Lower
"Actually, there is such thing as a magic cable. So yeah, I think down. All right, Josh."
$10,492 → $10,366 (-1.2%)
#204 2019-08-30 ▲ Higher
"So bring on the competition. I think Josh brings up an excellent point here about competition. Like we were talking about Hong Kong, Venezuela, Cyprus used to be locked into your currency."
$9,625 → $10,492 (+9.0%)
#202 2019-07-12 ▲ Higher
"It's just, it's ridiculous to try to correlate that with some news. Yeah, it's just is what it is and yeah, I think we're in a bull market now in a general bull market. Josh is right."
$11,364 → $10,759 (-5.3%)
#183 2018-07-20 ▲ Higher
"Now we're going to take credit during this bull run and previously we were telling people to to accumulate and so I think that it's going to be about six or seven months until that happens. So I think that the six month a guest in it is probably righ"
$7,405 → $8,231 (+11.2%)