TBG-268

Elon Again - Steamroller - JP Morgan - Trading Higher

July 23, 2021 · YouTube · All episodes
TBG-268 cover frame

Where the panel landed

Was Bitcoin's next phase being shaped by celebrity billionaires and banks, or by builders using and holding it without permission?

The panel partially agreed that Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey, and Jamie Dimon mattered less than the attention around them suggested. Ugly old goat dismissed the institutional-investor story most sharply, calling Elon a non-event and arguing that Bitcoin's next move would come from entrepreneurs already holding Bitcoin. Josh Shigala and Dan Eve were more willing to credit practical adoption, especially Lightning, Twitter payments, and bank access, while still warning against personality worship and custodial finance.

PessimisticMixedOptimistic
The panel expected Bitcoin to be higher next week and still saw a possible second bull-market run, but the mood was tempered by distrust of exchanges, shitcoins, banks, and billionaire-led narratives.

What they were watching

The directional consensus leaned higher, but without much conviction. Bitcoin was discussed around $32,460, with downside references to $20,000 or $15,000 and a past allusion to nearly $20,000 in 2017; Ethereum was around $2,057 and Dogecoin around 19 cents. The panel treated the market as suspended between a completed bottom and a broader cleanup of speculative excess.

Elon Musk returns, again

The show opened with Musk saying he owned Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin and that Tesla might resume Bitcoin payments when mining was cleaner. Dan saw him as a market-moving celebrity who should stop playing with memes, while Ugly old goat dismissed him as irrelevant and subsidy-built. Josh argued that the community's swing from adoration to hatred and back again was the real weakness.

World peace and Twitter payments

Jack Dorsey's claim that Bitcoin could help world peace drew both sympathy and ridicule. Josh defended the monetary argument that hard money can limit state spending, while Dan doubted Bitcoin could bring peace when even Bitcoiners cannot stop fighting. The panel liked open-source funding and Lightning-style utility, but kept returning to the contradiction of a censorship-resistant money promoted by a censoring platform.

Twitter as archive and platform

The discussion widened into Twitter itself: Spaces, video, payments, tip jars, and the problem of centralized moderation. Josh objected to the erasure of Trump's account as a historical record, while also resisting state intervention in platform rules. Dan saw the problem as an unresolved line between protection and censorship, with Bitcoin payments offering utility but not solving Twitter's power.

Malaysia steamrolls mining machines

The Malaysian police destruction of seized mining rigs became a meditation on government waste and propaganda. Josh and Dan thought auctioning or reusing the machines would have preserved value, while Ugly old goat argued seizure made sense if electricity had been stolen and that bureaucratic auctions are often corrupt anyway. The panel treated the steamroller video as political theater more than policy.

Silk Road auctions versus destroyed hardware

Thomas compared Malaysia's photo op with the U.S. government's Silk Road Bitcoin auctions, where Tim Draper bought nearly 30,000 Bitcoin. The panel split between seeing the U.S. sale as a squandered public asset and seeing destruction as a purer removal of tainted supply. Beneath the jokes about museums and war spending was a familiar grievance: governments rarely preserve value for the public.

JP Morgan opens the door

JP Morgan's move to offer crypto trading to all wealth-management clients was treated as both a milestone and a warning. Dan noted the irony of Jamie Dimon's reversal and the limited, fund-based nature of the access. Ugly old goat and Josh focused on custody, rehypothecation, ETFs, naked shorting, and the likelihood that banks would play their usual games around Bitcoin.

Market bottom or slow deflation

The price segment found no hard consensus, though all three panelists leaned higher for the next week. Ugly old goat emphasized preparation over prediction and warned that shitcoins and exchanges remained the major overhang. Josh compared the move to a 2013-style correction, while Dan stayed attached to Stock-to-Flow and used Dogecoin's Coinbase chart as a cautionary object.

Conference season as closing business

The final segment moved into Bitcoin Standard Conference in Ensenada and Mallorca Blockchain Days. Ugly old goat pitched the Ensenada event around Bitcoin treasury use, legal tender debates, workshops, and Thomas as master of ceremonies. Josh and Dan promoted Mallorca, The Standard, stablecoin discussions, and WCN Clips, ending the episode in the familiar overlap of show, shop, conference, and archive.

These obsessions with personalities and the space is extremely dangerous.— Josh Shigala
I wouldn't pay him a hoots worth of attention.— Ugly old goat
It's I can't, there's not even peace in the Bitcoin community.— Dan Eve
We recycle plastic bags. And yet there's people rolling steamrolling over high-tech equipment— Dan Eve
Does that mean that I can reopen the Chase Bank account that they closed on me?— Ugly old goat
I have no idea where the market is going and I trade accordingly.— Ugly old goat

Story of the Week

Large players return to Bitcoin's center stage

The episode kept returning to the same tension: Bitcoin was being validated by famous men and old institutions while the panel insisted that validation was not the point. Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey, and Jamie Dimon each appeared as a different version of the same problem, a public figure or institution trying to mediate Bitcoin for everyone else. The panel accepted the practical benefits of wider access, Lightning payments, and corporate funding, but the dominant note was suspicion toward custodians, celebrities, and recycled conviction. The week's real story was not that these figures liked Bitcoin, but that Bitcoiners were still being asked to care.

Stop listening to these large players.— Josh Shigala
The episode left Bitcoin where it often leaves it: surrounded by famous converts, hostile institutions, broken machines, and a panel still asking who is actually building.
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