TBG-252

Surges Past $60K - Coinbase IPO - Goldman - Mining - Digital Yuan

April 02, 2021 · YouTube · All episodes
TBG-252 cover frame

Where the panel landed

Was Coinbase going public and Goldman Sachs entering Bitcoin a sign of victory, or just the moment Wall Street finally brought the Trojan horse inside and started charging fees on it?

The panel agreed that Coinbase’s listing and Goldman’s wealth-management plans were good for visibility and price, but nobody mistook the banks for friends. Dan saw regulatory acceptance of Coinbase as a positive signal against near-term banning. Martin treated Goldman and JP Morgan as institutions being dragged in by their wealthy clients. Ben was more impressed by the framing of Bitcoin as part of a new internet, while Josh warned that Wall Street products also tie Bitcoin more tightly to manipulation, shorting, and clients with paper hands.

PessimisticMixedOptimistic
The panel was broadly bullish on price, adoption, institutional legitimacy, Lightning, mining strength, and conference activity, while remaining skeptical of banks, CBDCs, carbon-offset theater, and Wall Street’s motives.

What they were watching

Bitcoin was around the $60,000 level, with the panel treating that line as a long-tested resistance zone. Dan stuck with his $65,000 target, Martin expected sideways action just around or under $60,000, Ben saw a healthy channel toward $70,000 and eventually the old $240,000 target, and Josh assigned a roughly 60% chance of moving higher. The Magic 8 Ball confirmed the bullish side with “Signs point to yes.”

Coinbase gets the green light

The opening issue covered Coinbase going public on Nasdaq on April 14 and Bitcoin breaking above $60,000. Dan said the price was more exciting, but the listing mattered because it showed regulators allowing a major Bitcoin company into the public market. Martin said Coinbase still had real support problems, but the IPO would bring Bitcoin into every mainstream business-news cycle.

Price, channels, and dogs

Ben shared a chart showing Bitcoin moving inside a rising channel since the start of the year and suggested the next move could be toward $70,000. Josh said Bitcoin had been sniffing and scratching at the $60,000 door for a while and gave it better odds of rising than falling. Thomas tied the discussion together with the old line about the dog, the tail, and which one is smarter.

Coinbase as public equity

Josh was less interested in the IPO itself than in what happens when a Bitcoin company becomes a Wall Street object. He warned that Coinbase stock could be exposed to naked shorting and other market games, and that Coinbase’s share price might start influencing Bitcoin sentiment. The panel treated the listing as good for legitimacy but not necessarily good for Bitcoin culture.

Goldman Sachs joins the queue

Goldman Sachs preparing Bitcoin and digital-asset products for wealth-management clients became another example of institutional demand dragging banks into Bitcoin. Martin said ultra-high-net-worth clients already had crypto exposure and were pressuring banks to offer access. Ben highlighted Mary Rich’s quote about a new internet and saw it as evidence that Goldman’s framing had moved beyond simple number-go-up exposure.

Banks are not friends

The panel strongly rejected the idea that banks entering Bitcoin made them long-term allies. Martin said banks are never friends, only service providers. Josh said banks and wealthy clients may not have the same conviction as early Bitcoiners and could dump or short when the cycle turns. Thomas argued that mainstream investors get terrible timing signals because business media ignores Bitcoin near bottoms and covers it constantly near tops.

Diamond hands or weekend panic

Josh asked what happens when Bitcoin drops sharply on a Saturday and Goldman’s clients start calling for exits. Dan said institutions will have analysts, risk teams, and structured products, but still acknowledged that volatility will test them. Ben argued that Goldman’s clients may actually have better guidance than ordinary CNBC viewers, but Thomas remained skeptical of Wall Street narratives that arrive late and explain little.

Who accepts Bitcoin next

The exit question asked who would join the adoption wave. Martin picked major private banks such as Citi, Credit Suisse, UBS, Wells Fargo, Merrill Lynch, and others. Dan wanted a big retailer or car company, especially if they used Lightning. Ben named Amazon as the dream and Deutsche Bank or HSBC as bank possibilities. Josh chose McDonald’s, imagining global payments and loyalty points eventually merging with crypto rails.

Postal banking with Bitcoin

Thomas offered the United States Postal Service as the overlooked adoption candidate. He noted that the post office historically offered banking services and could revive them using Bitcoin as a low-infrastructure settlement backbone. The idea fit the episode’s broader theme: institutions that already touch everyone could become payment companies very quickly if they chose Bitcoin instead of building another database.

Mining difficulty and mining revenue

The mining issue covered record Bitcoin mining difficulty and surging mining-company stock prices. Ben showed the long-term hash-rate climb and said every transaction is secured by all that work. Martin noted that miners had seen record monthly revenue and were holding coins rather than selling them, while new mining equipment would not arrive in force until late in the year. The panel saw difficulty rising as strength, not weakness.

Mining at home still hurts

The panel distinguished professional mining from hobbyist fantasy. Dan remembered buying equipment and wishing he had simply bought Bitcoin instead. Thomas described home mining as noise first and money second. Martin said if mining is already your business, now is the time to run equipment, but for most people, earning or buying Bitcoin beats trying to mine it.

Carbon offsets and green theater

The environmental question split the panel more than usual. Ben supported optional carbon-offset tools and cited the possibility of wallets or services offsetting transactions, especially through legitimate charities. Martin rejected personal transaction offsets as “tree hugging hippie shit” and compared carbon-credit markets to Enron-style schemes. Josh shifted the focus to plastics, arguing that single-use plastic is a more concrete problem society could solve now. Rodolfo said Bitcoin mining should push energy-conversion technology forward rather than be avoided.

China’s digital yuan

The panel discussed whether Bitcoin’s popularity might be driving interest in China’s digital yuan. Dan said the digital yuan could legitimize digital money but would also serve control and traceability. Rodolfo argued that CBDCs will ultimately compete with each other and push attention toward Bitcoin once users experience their limitations. Martin said China’s problem is that private platforms such as WeChat and Alipay already dominate payments, so the state wants a digital cash substitute it can control.

CBDCs versus Bitcoin

Ben argued that more national digital currencies are coming and that privacy-respecting versions could eventually be built as Bitcoin sidechains, while China’s version will remain centrally controlled. Josh rejected the framing, saying major fiat currencies are already digital and that a centralized decentralized currency makes no sense. The panel generally saw CBDCs as useful mainly because they will teach people why Bitcoin is different.

Facebook or China

The exit question asked whether Facebook’s Libra-style coin or China’s digital yuan would make users more free. Dan reluctantly chose Facebook because it is less directly state-controlled. Rodolfo said opting out of Facebook is easier than opting out of a country, making Facebook the less costly master. Martin also chose Facebook only because it would probably be easier to convert into Bitcoin. Josh said Facebook at least does not have an army, though nobody sounded proud of the answer.

Lightning treasure hunt

Josh demonstrated Valtoro’s new LNbits-powered feature built with Ben: QR-code rewards hidden in articles that let readers collect sats through Lightning wallets. The panel treated it as a small but concrete example of the kind of micropayment interaction that can make Bitcoin feel alive rather than just sit on a chart. Thomas contrasted it with the earlier slap-Ben machine: less comedy, still good infrastructure.

Bitcoin 2021 hack space

Ben’s story of the week previewed the Bitcoin 2021 Miami hack space, inspired by his experience making ad hoc hardware and Lightning projects at Bitcoin 2019. He described plans for project kits, hardware tinkering, LNbits demos, Buy Bitcoin stamps, and a larger area where builders could exchange ideas. The segment closed the episode by moving away from banks and back toward people wiring things together on tables.

if they're accepting of it, then it's, you know, that's a appropriate coin move.— Dan Eve
we were mainstream now.— Ben Arck
The Trojan is well in truly behind enemy lines— Ben Arck
banks they don't make anything they never invented anything— Martin Wishmer
they're not your friends they want their taxes— Josh Shigala
I consider that all these CTVC's are more beneficial for Bitcoin than a problem to it— Rodolfo
there's no harm in offering an offsetting solution— Ben Arck
the tech exists— Ben Arck

Story of the Week

Coinbase carries Bitcoin onto Nasdaq

Coinbase’s approved public listing dominated the episode because it joined Bitcoin price action, regulatory acceptance, and Wall Street infrastructure in one event. Dan argued that if U.S. regulators were letting Coinbase list, it weakened the idea that they were about to ban Bitcoin outright. Martin said the listing would put Bitcoin in every business-news conversation, even if Coinbase itself still had customer-support and account-freezing problems. Josh liked the mainstream signal but worried that public equity markets could attach Bitcoin sentiment to Wall Street mechanics, including naked shorting and stock-driven narratives. Thomas framed it as another stage of the Trojan horse: Bitcoin entering the regulated market, but not necessarily on Bitcoin’s own terms.

we were mainstream now.— Ben Arck
The episode ended with Coinbase at Nasdaq’s gate, Goldman selling the dawn of a new internet, miners roaring louder, and Lightning quietly paying people to read the articles.
← Back to The Bitcoin Group