TBG-133

Bitcoin Fork? - Altcoin Madness - VC ICO - Bitcoin Users Doubles

March 18, 2017 · YouTube · All episodes
TBG-133 cover frame

Where the panel landed

Would the threat of a Bitcoin Unlimited fork damage Bitcoin, force a market reckoning, or simply reveal which chain the ecosystem considered Bitcoin?

The panel mostly agreed that Bitcoin Unlimited was now functionally being treated as an altcoin, especially after exchanges said they would list a forked BU chain separately as BTU. Theo Goodman was willing to let the market decide and said to fork it if that was where the dispute had gone. Gabriel D. Vine doubted a fork would happen after the latest BU bug damaged miner confidence, while Tone Vays and Jeffrey Jones framed Bitcoin Unlimited as both technically weaker and politically harmful.

PessimisticMixedOptimistic
The panel remained confident that Bitcoin would survive, but expected near-term price weakness and social damage from the fork controversy.

What they were watching

The directional consensus was lower or choppy in the near term, with the fork issue weighing on the market. The transcript discussed Bitcoin falling to $1,077, recovering into the $1,150-$1,180 range, then weakening again, with Tone watching $1,100 support and a possible move toward $915. The panel expected the altcoin rally to continue until it did not, with the eventual reversal likely to be fast and disorderly.

Forking Bitcoin

The episode opened with the possibility that Bitcoin could split into BTC and BTU after mining support for Bitcoin Unlimited rose and exchanges prepared fork contingency plans. Theo Goodman said a fork looked more likely and that users holding their own private keys would receive coins on both chains. His landing was weary rather than alarmist: put up or shut up, fork it, and let the market decide.

Exchanges Define BTU As A New Asset

The exchange statement became a major point because it classified Bitcoin Unlimited as a separate asset rather than the default Bitcoin. Theo called BTU a fitting ticker for a 2017 boutique altcoin, while Thomas connected the decision to the long-running argument over whether BU discussion belonged on Bitcoin forums. The panel treated exchange naming as a form of social consensus.

The Bitcoin Unlimited Bug

Gabriel D. Vine argued that a recent Bitcoin Unlimited bug was a lethal blow to its credibility. He said the episode showed the cost of fewer developers and fewer reviewers on critical consensus software. The panel repeatedly contrasted Bitcoin Core’s slow, heavily reviewed process with BU’s smaller and less tested development culture.

Roger Ver, Bitcoin.com, And Social Power

Tone and Jeffrey focused on Roger Ver’s influence, Bitcoin.com, and his ability to shape the naming dispute. Tone said Roger’s altcoin diversification created misaligned incentives, while Jeffrey described him as increasingly toxic to the Bitcoin ecosystem. Thomas noted that Bitcoin.com remained a powerful piece of real estate if the fight became a dispute over the Bitcoin name.

Altcoin Madness

The second issue covered rising prices in Ethereum, Dash, Monero, Namecoin, Feathercoin, and other older coins. Gabriel saw speculation and possible new fiat inflows, while Tone warned that money was leaving Bitcoin during a governance panic and could rush back just as quickly. Theo pushed back on purity narratives, noting that speculation itself is a real use case even if it is not the one technologists prefer.

Ethereum Hard Fork Reputation

Vitalik Buterin’s renewed defense of the Ethereum hard fork prompted the panel to revisit whether hard forks permanently damage a coin. Gabriel said permanence was the wrong lens because price is only a moment in time, but he still viewed Ethereum’s rise as largely speculative. The panel agreed that Ethereum’s price strength did not prove its fork decision was technically or ethically settled.

Blockchain Capital’s Regulated ICO

The panel returned to Brock Pierce’s Blockchain Capital ICO now that more details were available. Tone called it an adult version of the DAO because it was tied to a real venture fund, limited to accredited investors in the United States, and structured as a security. Theo remained skeptical that accredited investors would get early access while later buyers carried the risk, while Gabriel saw it as an early hybrid step toward regulated tokenized equity.

Bitcoin Adoption Curve

The final issue covered Willie Woo’s argument that Bitcoin’s user base was doubling every 12 months according to Google Trends. Jeffrey said Bitcoin had been growing through the bear market in everything except price, while Gabriel entertained the possibility of tens of millions of users. Tone accepted the broad trend but narrowed the framing to the internet-connected world rather than the entire world population.

BTU is quite a fitting ticker name, BOTEIC Unlimited— Theo Goodman
No, I don't think that Bitcoin unlimited will fork.— Gabriel D. Vine
Today is the day Bitcoin unlimited died and became the altcoin known as BTU.— Jeffrey Jones
I have not done that. I am sticking to Bitcoin.— Tone Vays
speculation is real life— Theo Goodman
Bitcoin over and over.— Jeffrey Jones

Story of the Week

Bitcoin Unlimited Becomes BTU

The dominant story was the market and exchange infrastructure preparing for the possibility of two Bitcoin chains. Nearly 20 exchanges announcing contingency plans changed the debate from theory to operational reality, and their language mattered: Bitcoin Unlimited would be treated as a new asset. That gave the Core side a rhetorical victory and turned the old censorship argument on its head, because BU now looked like the altcoin its opponents had long called it. The panel did not think a fork was inevitable, but the social boundary had been drawn.

Today is the day Bitcoin unlimited died and became the altcoin known as BTU.— Jeffrey Jones
The fork had not happened, but the labels had, and sometimes markets move first through language.
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