TBG-113

Central Bank Bitcoin, WinkETF, ViaBTC Unlimited, ETH Forks Hard

October 17, 2016 · YouTube · All episodes
TBG-113 cover frame

Where the panel landed

Will central banks, Wall Street products, mining politics, and Ethereum forks absorb Bitcoin’s model, or merely prove why Bitcoin’s conservative independence matters?

The panel was mostly aligned that central banks want digital control rather than Bitcoin itself, with Tone Vays stressing that they hate cash and want monetary policy without escape routes. Thomas Hunt was more willing to imagine institutional Bitcoin wrappers, especially the Winklevoss ETF, while Tone pushed back hard on custody, insurance, and regulatory risk. On ViaBTC and Ethereum, both agreed that Bitcoin Unlimited had little chance of winning and that Ethereum’s repeated forks showed the dangers of loose governance.

PessimisticMixedOptimistic
The panel remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s durability, but skeptical of banks, ETFs, miner politics, Ethereum governance, and the slow institutional process around anything touching Bitcoin.

What they were watching

The directional consensus was that Bitcoin’s real strength was not quick institutional adoption, but the fact that central banks, ETFs, and altcoins kept circling around the design without replacing it. Organic price levels were mostly absent, except for Tone saying a country could only seriously consider Bitcoin as an additional national currency once “One Bitcoin is worth like $10,000, $20,000.” The episode watched infrastructure, custody, and governance rather than short-term market movement.

Central Banks And Cashless Control

Tone argued that central banks are interested in digital currency because cash interferes with bank-run prevention, negative interest rates, and tax enforcement. He did not believe central banks wanted Bitcoin, because Bitcoin cannot be controlled by them.

Blockchain Transparency Versus Bank Privacy

Thomas pushed back by noting that Bitcoin’s accountability is precisely what banks dislike. A real public ledger could expose balances, flows, reserves, and transaction volume, which makes private bank blockchains an attempt to keep the old opacity in a new technical wrapper.

Bitcoin As National Currency

Tone imagined a small, corruption-weary country using a Bitcoin-like system to make public spending auditable. He said actual Bitcoin would need far more value on-chain before it could serve as a national currency supplement, and even then stability would depend on goods being priced in that currency.

Winklevoss ETF Delayed Again

Thomas saw the Winklevoss ETF as useful because it could let retirement accounts get Bitcoin exposure without managing keys. Tone disagreed sharply, arguing that custody, insurance, regulatory approval, and the precedent for altcoin ETFs made the proposal dangerous and unlikely.

Permission Versus Doing

The ETF segment became a broader contrast between regulated actors asking permission and anonymous or offshore actors simply launching. Tone’s distinction was practical: public figures need permission, while invisible operators can act first but must accept the risks.

ViaBTC Supports Bitcoin Unlimited

ViaBTC’s support for Bitcoin Unlimited was treated as a political move rather than a financial one. Tone argued that blocking Segregated Witness only delayed cheaper transactions and would not force Bitcoin Core to adopt the big-block position.

Ethereum Forks Again

Thomas summarized Ethereum’s planned hard forks as necessary cleanup and gas-pricing fixes, but still part of a roadmap full of disruptive changes. Tone argued that Ethereum’s future proof-of-stake transition would create another chain split and that Ethereum Classic was in a stronger position than many assumed.

Wallets, Scams, And Infrastructure

The closing discussion wandered through third-world adoption, decentralized exchanges, wallets, and investigative reporting. Tone argued that privacy-focused wallets like Airbitz and Mycelium were essential infrastructure but struggled to attract funding, while speculative projects and exchanges received attention.

Central banks hate cash.— Tone Vays
The only thing central banks care about is the currency they can control.— Tone Vays
We're really in the dollar phase of the Bitcoin system.— Thomas Hunt
I don't think it's going to happen I don't think it's going to get approved I don't think it should get approved.— Tone Vays
The market reacted by punishing via BTC who saw their hash power drop by 50% after the announcement.— Thomas Hunt
Ethereum is going to die.— Tone Vays

Story of the Week

Central Banks Want Digital Money Without Bitcoin

The dominant story was central-bank interest in Bitcoin-like systems, which Tone immediately reframed as interest in cashless control rather than interest in Bitcoin. His argument was that central banks want no bank runs, no cash escape hatch, full tax visibility, and negative-rate flexibility. Thomas noted the contradiction: Bitcoin’s public auditability is exactly the feature banks are trying to avoid when they build private ledgers. The episode’s institutional theme was clear: banks wanted the shape of Bitcoin without the accountability, permissionlessness, or loss of control.

They don't really want Bitcoin. What they want is a full-blown digital currency.— Tone Vays
The episode closed with central banks wanting control, Wall Street wanting a wrapper, miners wanting leverage, and Bitcoin still refusing to become anyone’s product.
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