{ "generated": "2026-05-09T08:29:02", "total_predictions": 80, "panelists_tracked": 13, "leaderboard": [ { "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "predictions": 38, "hits": 17, "misses": 10, "inconclusive": 9, "verify": 2, "evaluated": 27, "hit_rate": 63.0, "avg_horizon_days": 102.7, "last_date": "2025-10-18", "last_quote": "Well, I do think Dan that we've reached, I think it might have been CZ even who tweeted at one point Bitcoin will crash to 100 K and you'll be crying." }, { "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "predictions": 13, "hits": 5, "misses": 2, "inconclusive": 5, "verify": 1, "evaluated": 7, "hit_rate": 71.4, "avg_horizon_days": 146.8, "last_date": "2025-12-20", "last_quote": "Well, you can either say Bitcoin will go up or the global currencies go down in value and both the sure things because one happens when the other happens." }, { "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "predictions": 9, "hits": 2, "misses": 3, "inconclusive": 4, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 5, "hit_rate": 40.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2025-07-19", "last_quote": "And then we did, we did back to 1.5 or 500K, which by then will be called a crash Bitcoin will crash to 500K." }, { "panelist": "Martin Wismeijer", "predictions": 3, "hits": 2, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 3, "hit_rate": 66.7, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2022-08-19", "last_quote": "Bitcoin will go up again." }, { "panelist": "Dan Eve", "predictions": 2, "hits": 1, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 2, "hit_rate": 50.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2023-10-28", "last_quote": "So theoretically the price of Bitcoin should go up." }, { "panelist": "Adam McBride", "predictions": 2, "hits": 1, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 2, "hit_rate": 50.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2021-12-31", "last_quote": "He's like, the price of Bitcoin will go down." }, { "panelist": "Ben Arc", "predictions": 3, "hits": 1, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 1, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 2, "hit_rate": 50.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2025-06-28", "last_quote": "We're going to issue three Texas ready for 10 million dollar Bitcoin purchase after governor signs bill for state reserve Texas is getting a Bitcoin reserve and" }, { "panelist": "Andreas Antonopoulos", "predictions": 1, "hits": 1, "misses": 0, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 100.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2014-08-15", "last_quote": "But I mean, I'm not concerned about this, I think the merchant adoption is strong and that a little bit of a dip in the price means that it's not a bubble that " }, { "panelist": "Blake Anderson", "predictions": 4, "hits": 1, "misses": 0, "inconclusive": 3, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 100.0, "avg_horizon_days": 461.5, "last_date": "2016-01-16", "last_quote": "If the popularity of segregated witness wanes, then I think that people's confidence in the long-term scalability of Bitcoin will go down." }, { "panelist": "Jimmy Song", "predictions": 1, "hits": 1, "misses": 0, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 100.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2017-10-27", "last_quote": "And this is why I think price will go up because when developers contribute to the ecosystem, that makes the entire ecosystem stronger and more immune to other," }, { "panelist": "Will Pangman", "predictions": 2, "hits": 0, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 1, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 0.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2021-12-27", "last_quote": "They're going to fix this implementation problem and they're probably going to bounce back sometime next week and the price is going to go up again." }, { "panelist": "Tone Vays", "predictions": 1, "hits": 0, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 0.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2017-08-04", "last_quote": "I don't think Bitcoin is in a bubble at all." }, { "panelist": "Vlad Costea", "predictions": 1, "hits": 0, "misses": 1, "inconclusive": 0, "verify": 0, "evaluated": 1, "hit_rate": 0.0, "avg_horizon_days": 7.0, "last_date": "2025-12-27", "last_quote": "Well, not with it, my bubble, but I do understand that a large part of Latin America and the Middle East and pretty much a lot of the places that actually need " } ], "predictions": [ { "episode": 6, "date": "2021-10-11", "panelist": "Will Pangman", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "They're pushing people outside of the US but it's not just through bitcoin the US empire has been pushing people out for decades it's certainly with the collapse that every in the housing bubble recently people losing their houses seeing opportunities elsewhere the growth in Asia it's forcing people out will.", "context": "The answer is ten. Issue two bitcoin hearing part two the revenge this time bitcoin went before the senate banking subcommittee featuring the director of thin sin again and later joined by bitcoiners and bankers the bankers seemed heavily in favor of regulating the fledgling cryptocurrency but congress seemed reticent does congress really have the patience to allow bitcoin to grow or will they clamp down with harsh regulations forcing brain drain on the United States and promoting the idea of a bitcoin you'd like to do. We have a bitcoin utopia that exists somewhere else where US citizens will", "price_at": 56010.9, "price_target": 64283.97, "target_date": "2021-10-18", "change_pct": 14.77, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 17, "date": "2021-12-27", "panelist": "Will Pangman", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "They're going to fix this implementation problem and they're probably going to bounce back sometime next week and the price is going to go up again.", "context": "We're now in our fifth goxing and if you haven't learned a lesson by now, then history will deliver it again as many times as it takes until you learn it. There are some great opportunities to buy some cheap Bitcoin right now, both in the broader market and on Mount Gox. I quite honestly believe they don't have a solvency issue. They're going to fix this implementation problem and they're probably going to bounce back sometime next week and the price is going to go up again. When that does, the people who bought Bitcoin on Gox had $304, $400.", "price_at": 47536.39, "price_target": 45824.54, "target_date": "2022-01-03", "change_pct": -3.6, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 18, "date": "2022-01-03", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think even after the company goes through the bottom of the red line, I think that it will continue to get coverage in the news for a while because there are certain media outlets that just love piling on top of the Bitcoin as a bubble.", "context": "That's his reputation too. I think they need somebody that's properly independent to go in there and audit the books. Next off, Atlas. I think even after the company goes through the bottom of the red line, I think that it will continue to get coverage in the news for a while because there are certain media outlets that just love piling on top of the Bitcoin as a bubble. They don't know what they're doing, kind of stuff.", "price_at": 45824.54, "price_target": 42743.03, "target_date": "2022-01-10", "change_pct": -6.72, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 43, "date": "2014-08-15", "panelist": "Andreas Antonopoulos", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "But I mean, I'm not concerned about this, I think the merchant adoption is strong and that a little bit of a dip in the price means that it's not a bubble that people are spending Bitcoin at the merchant adoption increases in its ability to interface with liquidity of Bitcoin.", "context": "I agree a lot with what Andreas said, a dollar cost averaging strategy if you've ever heard of that means basically just buying a regular set amount, you know, a regular interval. The price is really really high at that time, you may be buy a little bit less, the price is really low, you buy a little bit more and if it's an average amount of price versus buy, you just buy a normal amount. If you have a dollar cost averaging approach to getting into Bitcoin, the volatility is a lot less impactful. But I mean, I'm not concerned about this, I think the merchant adoption is strong and that a littl", "price_at": 522.01, "price_target": 497.68, "target_date": "2014-08-22", "change_pct": -4.66, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 43, "date": "2014-08-15", "panelist": "Blake Anderson", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 1825, "horizon_label": "long_term", "quote": "My prediction is that long term of course Bitcoin is going to go up the merchant adoption exploding right now is good.", "context": "I can't understand that. But Blake, do you have a prediction or a story of the week? A prediction or story? My prediction is that long term of course Bitcoin is going to go up the merchant adoption exploding right now is good. The current and the horse problem before people were like, nobody accepts it.", "price_at": 522.01, "price_target": 10308.51, "target_date": "2019-08-14", "change_pct": 1874.77, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 48, "date": "2014-09-20", "panelist": "Blake Anderson", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "Tim Draper noted venture capitalist disagrees with the current market he says he sees an entire economy being rebuilt he has a price target of $10,000 in three years and he says even that may be pessimistic is there no reason to fear is this really the mother of all buying opportunities Blake Anderson.", "context": "I think we'll develop those solutions maybe I'll go buy some stuff on Amazon with gift that sounds fun. Moving on issue four Tim Draper Bitcoin's price still headed to $10,000 a coin. This quote may only be seven days old but one of the largest Bitcoin holders the winner of the Silk Road auction sees the market very differently than today's depressed price. Tim Draper noted venture capitalist disagrees with the current market he says he sees an entire economy being rebuilt he has a price target of $10,000 in three years and he says even that may be pessimistic is there no reason to fear is thi", "price_at": 401.62, "price_target": 379.08, "target_date": "2014-09-27", "change_pct": -5.61, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 48, "date": "2014-09-20", "panelist": "Blake Anderson", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "It's it's very irresponsible So please don't be that person Price weird Still okay, bye Here's my prediction my prediction is nautilus coin will be released soon with roovo steg not just gonna Um, I had to say that at least once otherwise someone was gonna shoot me Uh story of the week You know this this Bitcoin price action is I think probably the biggest story in crypto right now Um, it is an utter collapse of any remaining bubble Said to prices so low compared to the debt to compare to the difficulty that it is completely Unprofitable to mind the coin and will in fact put you in debt if it goes much lower So I'm I mean that to me that's that's big deal.", "context": "He's a cryptographic talking machine That's pretty good and a singmucha. Thanks us for for answering the questions And we're gonna move on to predictions or story of the week Blake Anderson Are you ready with a prediction or a story of the week? um Again, I guess I'm just gonna have to Re-channel my emotions from earlier which you know my prediction is that the space is going to lack development and growth for as long It's the people that are invested in it emotionally mentally and materially financially allow for it to happen if you are Emotionally invested in blockchain technology because yo", "price_at": 401.62, "price_target": 379.08, "target_date": "2014-09-27", "change_pct": -5.61, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 51, "date": "2014-10-10", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Man I'm terrible at this prediction things well it's already being used by people in this face which I think is really good and I think it's just going to grow from there and really spread out you know I it's hard to put an exact number on it it really is things seem to move so fast in Bitcoin and then you kind of step outside the bubble and you realize how hard it is for people to kind of jump on with you so I can't really I don't have a problem with that.", "context": "Yeah hopefully I don't cut out this time but I'm having some technical issues over here so yeah I this is something that really means a lot to me the ability to have these micro payments for the arts for music for entertainment there's a fundamental problem in the recording industry and the motion picture industry right now and that is you know I guess you could say they just don't have the right models anymore people don't shop at record stores we don't go and pay twenty dollars a CD anymore it's ninety nine cents a song and we do it all online. And so I think you know if we can have these mi", "price_at": 361.22, "price_target": 390.88, "target_date": "2014-10-17", "change_pct": 8.21, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 59, "date": "2014-12-06", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Even during what, sadly, I think we can now all agree, it was a Bitcoin bubble in the price.", "context": "There's effectively an infinite supply of tokens or whatever, but they don't understand that these currencies are not fungible because they can't all share the same economic effect, the same market effect with each other, network effect. That is the hashing power, the number of merchants that you can use this currency with and so forth. Those are all things that are going to factor in the price that are in some ways mutual exclusive. Even during what, sadly, I think we can now all agree, it was a Bitcoin bubble in the price. We didn't know we were in a bubble.", "price_at": 376.47, "price_target": 349.35, "target_date": "2014-12-13", "change_pct": -7.2, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 84, "date": "2016-01-16", "panelist": "Blake Anderson", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "If the popularity of segregated witness wanes, then I think that people's confidence in the long-term scalability of Bitcoin will go down.", "context": "Blake, do you have a prediction or a story of the week? Yeah. I have a prediction that the, at least for the first quarter of 2016, the price is going to move up and down with the popularity of segregated witness. If the popularity of segregated witness wanes, then I think that people's confidence in the long-term scalability of Bitcoin will go down. I think as popularity of segregated witness goes up and people look at it and participate and make sure that it's tenable and working well that the price will increase.", "price_at": 382.47, "price_target": 402.13, "target_date": "2016-01-23", "change_pct": 5.14, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 92, "date": "2016-04-22", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think after the havining, the price will drop a little bit.", "context": "I have my own series. It's going to happen around the havining. I think we'll go up into the havining mostly on trader hype and speculation. I think after the havining, the price will drop a little bit. I don't want to get into the reasons for that.", "price_at": 450.08, "price_target": 448.53, "target_date": "2016-04-29", "change_pct": -0.34, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 127, "date": "2017-02-04", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think the price will go up.", "context": "The drapers are still running around saying, maybe so. I think Bitcoin's really valuable for more people that hear about it, the better. And if this fear and uncertainty and doubt, acts as an advertising agent, bringing us more people to Bitcoin. I think the price will go up. Tom Vays, any comment on that?", "price_at": 1016.11, "price_target": 996.52, "target_date": "2017-02-11", "change_pct": -1.93, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 153, "date": "2017-08-04", "panelist": "Tone Vays", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I don't think Bitcoin is in a bubble at all.", "context": "Is Bitcoin in a bubble? Go to tone and then Jimmy. I don't think so. I don't think Bitcoin is in a bubble at all. I mean, old coins are in a bubble.", "price_at": 3262.8, "price_target": 3871.62, "target_date": "2017-08-11", "change_pct": 18.66, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 155, "date": "2017-08-18", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "So if everyone in the world could access Bitcoin, even in Africa or the back, out back of Australia, even in random places in Russia, I believe that Blockstream's theory would be the value of Bitcoin will go up.", "context": "I think that if you look at Blockstream and you say, it was founded by a lot of Bitcoin holders. And there's a lot of Bitcoin holders at the company. The goal is to make Bitcoin go up. So if everyone in the world could access Bitcoin, even in Africa or the back, out back of Australia, even in random places in Russia, I believe that Blockstream's theory would be the value of Bitcoin will go up. So it's good for Bitcoin.", "price_at": 4150.45, "price_target": 4352.3, "target_date": "2017-08-25", "change_pct": 4.86, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 157, "date": "2017-09-01", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "In my opinion, I think we're just kind of coming into a maybe a short-term bubble, Cliff High, who does linguistic analysis on internet traffic has specifically indicated that his data a short-term high of 6888, or the D is claiming his data shows a 6888 price and then a massive drop, something around 40-ish percent, which would actually take us, I believe, back to thousands.", "context": "2000, I started to think, OK, maybe, you know, as ASAP's charts started to go into the yellow, I started to think, OK, now we're somewhere near fair value. And I really think that now, finally, you know, with the censorship resistance, 18 or 75 billion or whatever we are in the market cap, starting to feel like we're maybe more getting the market is kind of pricing in the value that Bitcoin is giving. And it's accurately pricing in the technical challenges ahead, like fungibility and scaling, while still recognizing the incredible store value and an amazing consistency of the market, as well a", "price_at": 4573.8, "price_target": 4335.13, "target_date": "2017-09-08", "change_pct": -5.22, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 162, "date": "2017-10-27", "panelist": "Jimmy Song", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And this is why I think price will go up because when developers contribute to the ecosystem, that makes the entire ecosystem stronger and more immune to other, uh, similar things that happen in the future.", "context": "What can be done to reduce the effectiveness of Segwit 2x technical attack, Jimmy saw? Well, um, I mean, it just comes down to what happens at every hard work, which is that developers need to go develop stuff. That's, uh, that's really all it comes down to. And this is why I think price will go up because when developers contribute to the ecosystem, that makes the entire ecosystem stronger and more immune to other, uh, similar things that happen in the future. Uh, like developers are going to have to put in stuff like, um, coin control, uh, which will allow you to select specifically which UT", "price_at": 5726.61, "price_target": 7363.8, "target_date": "2017-11-03", "change_pct": 28.59, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 167, "date": "2017-12-09", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And in terms of the price I think I think the initial reaction to that would be a pullback on the price and I think it would pop if we are in a short term bubble I think it would pop that bubble.", "context": "I'm not saying the banks think about the tellers I'm sure that will be the mantra coming out of congress is save the banks or the economy is going to collapse. Just sort of clarify what I meant with the government crackdown I think it would be kind of similar to the China situation in late 2013 where like maybe we'll see like a political movement kind of from within Congress or a certain section of our political leaders in the US. We'll come out and be like we need to ban Bitcoin because of these things that they can easily point to like save the children terrorism stuff like that they normall", "price_at": 15059.6, "price_target": 19065.71, "target_date": "2017-12-16", "change_pct": 26.6, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 182, "date": "2018-06-29", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "In notorious Bitcoin bull, Tom Lee from Fundstrat, argued recently that the futures markets deployed by CBOE have suppressed price growth, while others say that Bitcoin is simply in a bear market.", "context": "And I'm Thomas Hunt from the World Crypto Network, moving on to issue one. Bitcoin price dips below 6,000. The Bitcoin downtrend continued this week with the fledgling cryptocurrency falling below $6,000 for the third time in 2018. In notorious Bitcoin bull, Tom Lee from Fundstrat, argued recently that the futures markets deployed by CBOE have suppressed price growth, while others say that Bitcoin is simply in a bear market. The media, as usual, is saying that Bitcoin is dead and trying to bury it in favor of more bank-friendly altcoins.", "price_at": 6385.38, "price_target": 6758.08, "target_date": "2018-07-06", "change_pct": 5.84, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 185, "date": "2018-08-17", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And I think that's one of the reasons why, even though we've been in a price bear market, the hash rate has been surging crazily.", "context": "You've got to set it up, figure out where you're going to get all the power for that, work out your deals with power companies, or with wherever it's going to go. Then you've got to have the expertise, got to have the personnel in order to actually service this stuff and manage it. It's a serious thing. And I think that's one of the reasons why, even though we've been in a price bear market, the hash rate has been surging crazily. I mean, we're talking, you know, up to 10% every difficulty adjustment.", "price_at": 6405.71, "price_target": 6749.56, "target_date": "2018-08-24", "change_pct": 5.37, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 195, "date": "2019-03-15", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "But no, if you're willing to do that, then I think Bitcoin is going to go up.", "context": "It's a game of survival. So, you know, don't play anything short. Just just wait three, four, five years, put a pick a position and then keep that for three, four, five years or just don't get involved. But no, if you're willing to do that, then I think Bitcoin is going to go up. But I think there is, I think it's 50-50, either it's going to, either it's going to carry on going down and maybe it's like, you know, one and a half thousand dollars or something.", "price_at": 4027.01, "price_target": 4007.21, "target_date": "2019-03-22", "change_pct": -0.49, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 220, "date": "2020-04-24", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Yes, I think Bitcoin price is going to go up but the very fact that oil is being so volatile is probably something worth taking seriously and being a bit scared about.", "context": "If you look at the successive countries and countries which have managed to gather great wealth, they've all had oil reserves, they're rich with the North Sea oil and the US with Texas and South America. It's been the exploitation of oil reserves which has given countries a lot of wealth. So our economies are very much linked with it. Yes, I think Bitcoin price is going to go up but the very fact that oil is being so volatile is probably something worth taking seriously and being a bit scared about. But yeah, no, Bitcoin is going to go up.", "price_at": 7546.92, "price_target": 8981.11, "target_date": "2020-05-01", "change_pct": 19.0, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 223, "date": "2020-05-29", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I predict that I predict that I've predicted the Bitcoin will go up.", "context": "What's happening. I really feel for everyone that's and that's that's that's suffering and that are going to continue to suffer, especially for rights, start breaking out and shop start getting looted and and and all those people without jobs and wow, you know, it's it's a crazy time. So my prediction is, bless, you know, can't your blessings can't your blessings because the world changes like that. I predict that I predict that I've predicted the Bitcoin will go up. So I've got to be consistent.", "price_at": 9699.78, "price_target": 9671.46, "target_date": "2020-06-05", "change_pct": -0.29, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 232, "date": "2020-10-23", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think it could really push the price of Bitcoin over $1,000 a coin.", "context": "Well, first, I want to join the celebratory side. We've been waiting for PayPal to take Bitcoin for so long. I think it's going to change everything. I think it could really push the price of Bitcoin over $1,000 a coin. So I want everybody to watch for that.", "price_at": 13126.13, "price_target": 13803.41, "target_date": "2020-10-30", "change_pct": 5.16, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 241, "date": "2020-12-25", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "The price of Bitcoin just keeps going up, setting a new all-time high on Christmas Day with a brand new $24,600 price point.", "context": "And I'm Thomas Hunt from the World Crypto Network. Moving on to issue one. Issue one, new Bitcoin all-time high. The price of Bitcoin just keeps going up, setting a new all-time high on Christmas Day with a brand new $24,600 price point. Josh Gagalla, is the price of Bitcoin crazy?", "price_at": 26445.7, "price_target": 32203.64, "target_date": "2021-01-01", "change_pct": 21.77, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 241, "date": "2020-12-25", "panelist": "Martin Wismeijer", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Bitcoin is also like, you know, the first world's, certainly the first number go up technology.", "context": "So the thing is, people are going, eventually people will have to switch their mindset from calculating in Fiat and calculating it in grams of gold because eventually it will make no sense calculating this thing in Fiat anymore because all you're doing is calculating the amount of money that they're printing. Martin from General Bites. The price will continue to go up. Bitcoin is also like, you know, the first world's, certainly the first number go up technology. So therefore, I think, the number will keep going up.", "price_at": 26445.7, "price_target": 32203.64, "target_date": "2021-01-01", "change_pct": 21.77, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 252, "date": "2021-04-02", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "This news may have lifted the price above $60,000 or it could be the usual trading stats of Bitcoin.", "context": "Evening. And I'm Thomas Hunt from the World Crypto Network, moving on to issue one, issue one, Bitcoin surges past $60,000 as Coinbase stock market float receives green light from US regulators. Coinbase is going public on April 14th on the NASDAQ. This news may have lifted the price above $60,000 or it could be the usual trading stats of Bitcoin. Dan Eave, what are you more excited about $60,000 Bitcoin or the Coinbase IPO?", "price_at": 57074.97, "price_target": 59784.8, "target_date": "2021-04-09", "change_pct": 4.75, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 252, "date": "2021-04-02", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "But yeah, I think, you know, I did see today on the RTL network, the news network, business news network here in the satellite, that there was somebody really, really negative about Bitcoin and crypto being a bubble and now a platform for trading in bubbles is going live on nest deck and it will fail and it should not waste your time on it.", "context": "But yeah, I think it's great for Coinbase. You do see a lot of people on Twitter complaining that their accounts have been closed, that they can't connect to customer support. So I think they do have to hire a bunch of people for the support stuff. But yeah, I think, you know, I did see today on the RTL network, the news network, business news network here in the satellite, that there was somebody really, really negative about Bitcoin and crypto being a bubble and now a platform for trading in bubbles is going live on nest deck and it will fail and it should not waste your time on it. So there", "price_at": 57074.97, "price_target": 59784.8, "target_date": "2021-04-09", "change_pct": 4.75, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 254, "date": "2021-04-16", "panelist": "Dan Eve", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "He decided to laugh at him because Bitcoin is going to hit 250 and then it's going to go to crazy, crazy money that we never thought.", "context": "Dan Eve, will we be laughing at Kramer? Like we laugh at the bear whale. Well, inevitably at some point, it's just to went on the timeline. He decided to laugh at him because Bitcoin is going to hit 250 and then it's going to go to crazy, crazy money that we never thought. Like when it was like a thousand dollars and we're like, it will never reach 3000.", "price_at": 60056.07, "price_target": 50115.99, "target_date": "2021-04-23", "change_pct": -16.55, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 271, "date": "2021-08-13", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 1825, "horizon_label": "long_term", "quote": "We know Bitcoin is like number go up technology.", "context": "Margin Wishmare, is the bear market over? Is it nothing but bullishness from here on out? Thomas, we've been in theirs for so long. We know Bitcoin is like number go up technology. It might slide down a bit, but eventually, especially on long term, it will always go up unlike many of the odds.", "price_at": 47102.03, "price_target": null, "target_date": null, "result": "verify" }, { "episode": 273, "date": "2021-08-28", "panelist": "Martin Wismeijer", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Then the price will go up.", "context": "So, do they have to pay back $700,000 or 100,000? No, they have to pay back to Bitcoin. They're going to have to pay back to Bitcoin. Then the price will go up. You're so cruel, Judge Martin.", "price_at": 48794.26, "price_target": 51784.16, "target_date": "2021-09-04", "change_pct": 6.13, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 289, "date": "2021-12-31", "panelist": "Adam McBride", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "He's like, the price of Bitcoin will go down.", "context": "Like Jesus, everything's gone crazy. The world's on its head. I just like that Adam McBride knows how to make friends. He's like, the price of Bitcoin will go down. Then the price of Bitcoin will go up.", "price_at": 47737.35, "price_target": 41686.67, "target_date": "2022-01-07", "change_pct": -12.67, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 289, "date": "2021-12-31", "panelist": "Adam McBride", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Then the price of Bitcoin will go up.", "context": "The world's on its head. I just like that Adam McBride knows how to make friends. He's like, the price of Bitcoin will go down. Then the price of Bitcoin will go up. Oh, everybody's happy.", "price_at": 47737.35, "price_target": 41686.67, "target_date": "2022-01-07", "change_pct": -12.67, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 299, "date": "2022-03-11", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I'll say it's difficult it depends a bit on on the war I think at the moment it's but I do think that people it will take some time but eventually price will go up you know it's difficult I will trust the eight ball on this is better than any analyst I've seen on the internet so far.", "context": "This is the reality perhaps is unless you're within unless you're like you get it to 0.1% you know either way and that way that's very ninja that's a good prediction right if you just. I thought for a second it's going to pull out like a real crystal ball like a big one and start I'm just look at the competitive eight ball and get the answer that way. What I have here out of the beard. I'll say it's difficult it depends a bit on on the war I think at the moment it's but I do think that people it will take some time but eventually price will go up you know it's difficult I will trust the eight ", "price_at": 38805.53, "price_target": 42235.02, "target_date": "2022-03-18", "change_pct": 8.84, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 299, "date": "2022-03-11", "panelist": "Ben Arc", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "And I won because there's no new nuclear war yet so I will say that the price will go down next week because then it will go up so everyone put your lungs in.", "context": "The beard is conflicted the outlook is cloudy even through the. Then you hire or lower. Okay so I am happy this week is because my two predictions last week was that there would be a Bitcoin would go up and which I'm not that fast about this gone down slightly but I also said there was going to be nuclear war so because it was reverse psychology with the universe. And I won because there's no new nuclear war yet so I will say that the price will go down next week because then it will go up so everyone put your lungs in. There it is finally reverse psychology paying off Ben arc higher or lower.", "price_at": 38805.53, "price_target": 42235.02, "target_date": "2022-03-18", "change_pct": 8.84, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 299, "date": "2022-03-11", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "So I think the price is the price is going to go up, but for now, it's still, we're only two weeks in into this conflict, quite amazingly.", "context": "So yeah, the price currently is still teetering coupled with market prices, but it will, it will, as just as it did with the pandemic and other economic hiccups we've had, it will then people will, you'll see that safe haven price rise, which you would imagine in a scenario where I think the real news is, I mean like, on both sides of the war, people are finding use for Bitcoin, the Ukrainians for accepting donations which can't be confiscated. And then the other garks for trying to avoid sanctions as well. So it's this crazy new technology which everyone can use and benefit from. So I think t", "price_at": 38805.53, "price_target": 42235.02, "target_date": "2022-03-18", "change_pct": 8.84, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 300, "date": "2022-03-18", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "I have to just send me one maybe two then I'll have one to sell dan eave a prediction tell us about the future Uh Okay, so I think last I can't remember what I did last week But I think I went to no nuclear war and I think I was correct so nice and easy one and I'm gonna go for a prediction Next week that there will also be no nuclear war and I think that also Bitcoin will go up So I'm doing a double prediction, which is like one of those like betting slips where you do the combination things where you've got to get two Matches in a row or you know two matches that the same prediction.", "context": "He really long episode You're gonna see you're gonna see a board ape trade for 10 million dollars in the next month or so. It's gonna it's gonna go crazy Oh 10 million dollars. That's crushing still a chance you could send me a free board ape come on I'll join your club. I have to just send me one maybe two then I'll have one to sell dan eave a prediction tell us about the future Uh Okay, so I think last I can't remember what I did last week But I think I went to no nuclear war and I think I was correct so nice and easy one and I'm gonna go for a prediction Next week that there will also be no", "price_at": 42235.02, "price_target": 44542.31, "target_date": "2022-03-25", "change_pct": 5.46, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 303, "date": "2022-04-15", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Yeah I mean look I've got a video on from me in 2011 on YouTube going Bitcoin is not a tulip bubble or something like that right.", "context": "The highest bid was $240. Josh Shagalla what about this number one tweet selling for number one nothing. Is this a big warning to NFT holders such as crypto punks who may have life changing money dozens of Ethereum that they could take now or get an offer for $240. Yeah I mean look I've got a video on from me in 2011 on YouTube going Bitcoin is not a tulip bubble or something like that right. Because that was the constant thing that everyone went on about Bitcoin is a tulip bubble it's a tulip bubble like you know that that talks about the tulips in back in the day where in Holland they starte", "price_at": 40392.55, "price_target": 39445.97, "target_date": "2022-04-22", "change_pct": -2.34, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 304, "date": "2022-04-22", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I mean, that's not a bubble, that's a new asset class, and I think many of the Bitcoiners, they add real hotlers here, they're not in it for a quick gain.", "context": "Bitcoin is down, yeah, compared to the dollar, but many Bitcoiners after a while, maybe at first they go in looking at potential Fiat profits, but after a while they're like, you know, I don't really care. It's the amount of Satoshi, the amount of Bitcoin I have that is really important, and the curtain fell you, you know, in the long run, if you zoom out, then, you know, four or five years, the price will always go up. It's like, you know, if history is a lesson, media still calls it a bubble, but tell me any bubble that lasts us for what, 12 years now? I mean, that's not a bubble, that's a n", "price_at": 39445.97, "price_target": 37650.13, "target_date": "2022-04-29", "change_pct": -4.55, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 313, "date": "2022-06-24", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And then I hope the price will go down, and I'll buy it back, pay Thomas back, and hey, press the I'll keep the difference.", "context": "So it is important. But like we mentioned before, naked short selling. The idea of short selling is you borrow, I'll borrow 10 from Thomas, 10 units, and I'll sell it. And then I hope the price will go down, and I'll buy it back, pay Thomas back, and hey, press the I'll keep the difference. Now, naked short selling is this thing where if you're a large banking institution, like JP Morgan Chase or others, such, and that ilk, will literally not borrow any of it, just sell stuff that they don't have at all.", "price_at": 21474.19, "price_target": 19225.66, "target_date": "2022-07-01", "change_pct": -10.47, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 314, "date": "2022-07-01", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 1825, "horizon_label": "long_term", "quote": "The fact is that if you have a pension, you're putting your money or 401k as they say in the United States, if you've got, you know, you're putting your money in Bitcoin, if you're going to have a bit of downturn, I think initially, because we do seem to think the price is going to go down a bit, but ultimately, long term, it's going to go up.", "context": "If you look at the previous peaks, like the CME, the 2017 one was pretty much like the $19,000 mark or 2017. And there's other sins that they're kind of, they almost ride the hype and they suddenly allow the agreed ETF right at the point of a little spike and then it dumps again, which is actually really bad news by the sounds of it for the recent short ETF that's just been done because although it may go down a bit, you know, ultimately, I think everyone's knows that, you know, we're kind of halfway through the bear market right now, very, and things should start after this dip should start p", "price_at": 19225.66, "price_target": null, "target_date": null, "result": "verify" }, { "episode": 316, "date": "2022-07-22", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "I think it's more just kind of general trimming down they can see a bit of a multi-year bear market or you know a winter coming in but at the same time they're just trying to tighten the reins make sure that they're they remain profitable and yeah as much as people want to see them for you know at the end of the day you don't think you don't have to go like you think about like this right like you don't have to go and buy the shit going you can go on Coinbase and just buy Bitcoin you don't go into a supermarket and go oh they sell carrots I don't like carrots you know I'm not going to buy anything else I don't like them because they sell carrots.", "context": "What you do is stable coins you have to cash in for normal normal like money and what do you do you make a huge spread on it. So like pay chunks, people who are getting paid all these different decentralized communities that are paying people in stable coins they've got to cash out in some way into real fear into real shit going. So the coinbase is still making money on that spread so I don't know I don't think it's as bad as the doom and gloom sort of side. I think it's more just kind of general trimming down they can see a bit of a multi-year bear market or you know a winter coming in but at", "price_at": 22452.14, "price_target": 23646.03, "target_date": "2022-07-29", "change_pct": 5.32, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 318, "date": "2022-08-05", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "next_show", "quote": "Yeah Laura we're in a weren't stressful bear market times when people when it puts it on perspective and you're like I just want to spend time with my family I'm so stressed out it's Bitcoin thing and then most people they just go back to work and they just keep that little Bitcoin stash but someone I might call sailor can't because this is this whole world so yeah it's it's going to go lower at some point just keep predicting it's going to go low and it'll go lower hopefully.", "context": "Josh is sending us the Super Bowl ad we'll see maybe we can play it later but we've got to move on to the exit question. Exit question predicting against the incredible and baldest travel eight ball in the business the greatest predictor of predictors Dan Eve the price of Bitcoin this time next week higher or lower. I've got to go now I'm still thinking he's going to be going to dip below 20 again soon I'm very sad but don't worry everyone I'm wrong always so that means in what the negative news crew from Dan continues Ben Ark do you also have the pessimist bug of virus that has made you wrong", "price_at": 22956.4, "price_target": 24449.86, "target_date": "2022-08-12", "change_pct": 6.51, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 320, "date": "2022-08-19", "panelist": "Martin Wismeijer", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Bitcoin will go up again.", "context": "So check that out. Martin Wishmer, what do you think about the price of Bitcoin? Thomas, I'm not never really really interested about the price but yeah, I think as long as the Fed is giving some interest rates and the EU struggles to contain inflation, we'll see everybody closely following what is the Fed doing but once people find out that it really really really doesn't matter what the Fed decides. Bitcoin will go up again. I think the amount of money that has been printed over the past few years will cause inflation and just a few points of interest increase from Fed or European Central Ba", "price_at": 21142.06, "price_target": 20038.42, "target_date": "2022-08-26", "change_pct": -5.22, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 323, "date": "2022-09-09", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think the cashback idea to get some crypto Bitcoin back on your purchases is insanely great because just those cashback people alone will prevent another bear market.", "context": "So yeah, I don't, I don't, I seriously don't think they can still afford to pay that sponsorship with their crow token because it's, it's next to worthless nowadays, you know, every time I get a cashback, I don't know how fast I must reach for my phone and convert it to Bitcoin as soon as possible to avoid it from falling in, you know, falling even further. So yeah, honestly, I do hope they succeed. I mean, it's an easy way to buy Bitcoin. I think the cashback idea to get some crypto Bitcoin back on your purchases is insanely great because just those cashback people alone will prevent another ", "price_at": 21655.13, "price_target": 20118.35, "target_date": "2022-09-16", "change_pct": -7.1, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 325, "date": "2022-09-23", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Means that we can adjust accordingly and assume that the price of Bitcoin will go up.", "context": "When really, you can ask any Macafee the same question, they'll say the same thing. Well, and a lot of it's because of the Bitcoin halving structure, right, Josh? The fact that we know production will reliably go to within the next two years by 50%. Means that we can adjust accordingly and assume that the price of Bitcoin will go up. Yeah.", "price_at": 18924.39, "price_target": 19313.96, "target_date": "2022-09-30", "change_pct": 2.06, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 329, "date": "2022-10-21", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And I think the price is going to go up.", "context": "These are like legitimate, well-established professionals working in, you know, computer science and all these other, you know, IT infrastructure dev ops who are building great Bitcoin things, uh, because they believe in the, the hard way and they believe in the software they believe in the project, they believe in the Bitcoin project. And, um, it's interesting to them. And I just can't see how it can fail. And I think the price is going to go up. Look, look why the talent is.", "price_at": 19207.57, "price_target": 20820.19, "target_date": "2022-10-28", "change_pct": 8.4, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 332, "date": "2022-11-11", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And I think, you know, Bitcoin is the price will go lower while they keep playing those games, unfortunately.", "context": "But the Fed is doing everything that it can to try and reduce the liquidity in the system because of issues with inflation. We all know it's not going to work, but it's a question of when. And they'll keep doing that until something breaks. And I think, you know, Bitcoin is the price will go lower while they keep playing those games, unfortunately. So I think it's only fair that as Bitcoiners who understand the dynamics of these things, we warn everybody, you know, now is not the time to be putting your ex all in that basket.", "price_at": 16773.9, "price_target": 16683.72, "target_date": "2022-11-18", "change_pct": -0.54, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 333, "date": "2022-11-18", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well I mentioned the latest newsletter I was producing on my web page last week that's now out basically I'm commenting on what I think of the macro economic environment and how I think that the Bitcoin bear market still has further to go not great news but I think it's better to be forward is for armed so anyone's interested in that they can check that out on stoshies page.com.", "context": "I think you'll do it can't be right should be right maybe we'll get actual conversations happening again maybe people go wow there's a real world. So far most of the conversations are just envisioning Twitter's funeral while we're still on Twitter so it's been a bit of a creative writing exercise I think. And Victoria do you have a prediction or a story of the week go ahead. Well I mentioned the latest newsletter I was producing on my web page last week that's now out basically I'm commenting on what I think of the macro economic environment and how I think that the Bitcoin bear market still h", "price_at": 16683.72, "price_target": 16451.53, "target_date": "2022-11-25", "change_pct": -1.39, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 335, "date": "2022-12-02", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "But I don't think we have some more consolidation to go I think it's going to be a it looks like a rough bear market but i see I think it's still I still see a lot of building and Bitcoin still works and i'm quite content with it.", "context": "Right now you'd be able to buy Bitcoin really cheap you'd be able to invest in startups that might become a unicorn in the future and that's what we're seeing you know swan just purchase specter specter is a multi sick wallet swan is a Bitcoin only exchange that is on custodial you buy Bitcoin on a DCA model and it sends your Bitcoin to your wallet every day and now they have acquired a multi sick company so there's a company there's companies that are growing right now during the bear market investing. Investing in their future and so on looks like they want to go public eventually so I think", "price_at": 16888.31, "price_target": 17129.19, "target_date": "2022-12-09", "change_pct": 1.43, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 339, "date": "2022-12-30", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, a year and a half is still a long time in considering that we're an all-time high year ago and everyone's bemoaning the fate of the Bitcoin bear market.", "context": "Thus, everyone thinks increasing the value of their Bitcoin. Victoria Jones, what do you think about the Bitcoin Havning? Only a year and a half away. Well, a year and a half is still a long time in considering that we're an all-time high year ago and everyone's bemoaning the fate of the Bitcoin bear market. I mean, it could be, you know, we could be, I mean, I'd be surprised if we're at a higher price this time next year than we are now.", "price_at": 16531.31, "price_target": 16942.73, "target_date": "2023-01-06", "change_pct": 2.49, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 340, "date": "2023-01-06", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Yes, they say that Bitcoin could go up or down in 2023.", "context": "Dan Eve, the crypto raptor. Happy 2023. And I'm Thomas Hunt from the World Crypto Network, moving on to issue one, issue one, the boldest Bitcoin calls for 2023 are out and a 1400% rally or a 70% plunge may be on the cards. Yes, they say that Bitcoin could go up or down in 2023. Ben, Arck, what do you think of their predictions?", "price_at": 16942.73, "price_target": 20954.52, "target_date": "2023-01-13", "change_pct": 23.68, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 348, "date": "2023-03-03", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, look, in the beginning of Bitcoin, you know, 2010 to 2011 to 2012, when the community started getting bigger and bigger, the hot, the every talking point was Bitcoin's a chulet bubble and just kept on talking about it.", "context": "They've captured it 10,000 minutes. Just generally Josh Shagalla and then we'll go down the line. What do you think about Binance's new NFT AI generator buzzwords? Well, look, in the beginning of Bitcoin, you know, 2010 to 2011 to 2012, when the community started getting bigger and bigger, the hot, the every talking point was Bitcoin's a chulet bubble and just kept on talking about it. And it's like, hang on a minute, but the main thing about Bitcoin that there's only 21 million.", "price_at": 22353.23, "price_target": 20613.6, "target_date": "2023-03-10", "change_pct": -7.78, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 360, "date": "2023-05-27", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Morgan's analysts say this could cause the price of Bitcoin to rise all the way to $45,000, almost erasing the previous bear market.", "context": "Bitcoin price could reach $45,000 due to the rising gold price. The price of gold is once again above $2,000 and ounce. And J.P. Morgan's analysts say this could cause the price of Bitcoin to rise all the way to $45,000, almost erasing the previous bear market. Thomas Hunt, what do you think about the price?", "price_at": 28077.57, "price_target": 27125.24, "target_date": "2023-06-03", "change_pct": -3.39, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 365, "date": "2023-07-01", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "If there was a limited supply, they were shorter to Bitcoin on the market, but I think that's nonsense is supply and demand, the basic rules of supply and demand, of course, the price is going to go up.", "context": "And it's obviously you shake out a few of those people every time it dips too much. But considering where we are now and the strength of the Bitcoin ecosystem, not Bitcoin is wrong, which actually hold I just have Bitcoin, I'm just holding them no matter what. I think it's very encouraging and in the article is said that it doesn't necessarily mean that the price would go up. If there was a limited supply, they were shorter to Bitcoin on the market, but I think that's nonsense is supply and demand, the basic rules of supply and demand, of course, the price is going to go up. And also as Josh s", "price_at": 30617.66, "price_target": 30171.49, "target_date": "2023-07-08", "change_pct": -1.46, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 365, "date": "2023-07-01", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 1825, "horizon_label": "long_term", "quote": "Bitcoin bubble right he's saying this is how much wealth we can store in Bitcoin and every time someone does this from the traditional world.", "context": "Are they going to be buying more Bitcoin and more and more Bitcoin as when it's 60,000 when it's $100,000 or are they going to be you know just keeping holding their bags right now and obviously there's going to be other institutions that want to buy and we've said that the exchanges are kind of dried up at the moment but I'm sure a lot of these trades are happening especially the high volume trades on high high amount trades they're going to be personal like you know single holders or you know there'll be maybe multi-seg holders that don't want to actually put their coins on an exchange becau", "price_at": 30617.66, "price_target": null, "target_date": null, "result": "verify" }, { "episode": 365, "date": "2023-07-01", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "It does look really bad when a casino goes out of business it's a real Taj Mahal situation Josh Jagala who's better or worse for Bitcoin Michael sailor with his ability to sell everything all at one time to buy the New York Yankees or CZ who's running exchange that's safe who but only exists on his laptop with no home country.", "context": "Whereas by and it's going to buy and it's going down would send ripples throughout the ecosystem but more importantly even though it is a share coin casino it would scare off a bunch of people that otherwise would have been into Bitcoin but they're like oh I don't know this finance thing I'm not going to get into it. Just like we've seen before with FTX and all the other kind of crazy exchanges whenever they go down everyone kind of gets wet wet feet. We're feet cold feet that's it about maybe cold and wet feet about buying Bitcoin because they're scared about where to buy it from and they cou", "price_at": 30617.66, "price_target": 30171.49, "target_date": "2023-07-08", "change_pct": -1.46, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 367, "date": "2023-07-17", "panelist": "Ben Arc", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Ben Arck is the bear market over, and more importantly do Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other crypto currencies not have to worry about being called securities anymore.", "context": "Moving on to issue one, issue one, Bitcoin, Coinbase stock, and Ripple, soar as the Ripple ruling bolsters crypto optimism. Cryptocurrencies across the board rallied along with stocks as a federal jail ruled that Ripple's sale of tokens on exchanges and through algorithms did not violate federal security laws. Bitcoin prices broke through 31,000, Ethereum through 2000, Ripple went up 80% and Stellar went up 50%. Ben Arck is the bear market over, and more importantly do Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other crypto currencies not have to worry about being called securities anymore. I mean, I don't think ", "price_at": 29863.79, "price_target": 29226.63, "target_date": "2023-07-24", "change_pct": -2.13, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 370, "date": "2023-08-11", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Then the fundamental value of crypto or that the price will go up, which I think was a very person and comment.", "context": "And there was a great one by E. Forrick Bob, who said, people are only willing to make large allocations into a decentralized financial system. If they can go through a centralized financial system, what are they betting on exactly? Then the fundamental value of crypto or that the price will go up, which I think was a very person and comment. I personally think the, I do not know why everyone's getting so excited about it.", "price_at": 29417.08, "price_target": 26095.8, "target_date": "2023-08-18", "change_pct": -11.29, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 373, "date": "2023-09-01", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "So I thought that was great story of the week well I've been in France for two weeks so there's not been much related going on with me but on my website before I left my updated the latest newsletter which is about Bitcoin and what's it called the kind of remember the name when newsletter yes it's about the the self-sale bubble so extending on the idea of how fractional.", "context": "It sounds like you're doing all the stuff they suggest and I know we get the like either the little pills for the dog that makes the fleas go off of them but much like you say they're still in the environment they're in your carpet they're in your lawn they're in the dirt they're all over the place and even if you do give them the flea pill sometimes they come back with fleas in a couple weeks just the same. Let's go to Victoria Jones do you have a prediction or a story of the week go ahead. Well first of all I just like to say yeah I've seen the little clips I think they're very good actually", "price_at": 25868.56, "price_target": 25898.41, "target_date": "2023-09-08", "change_pct": 0.12, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 373, "date": "2023-09-01", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I was a banking began with Bank of England I've then gone on to talk about how that introduction then led to share trading and the scandal that was a salsy bubble so I found that quite interesting to write and I'm sure a few people will find that interesting to read so yeah if you go to my website site citatos page.com Bitcoin and the salsy bubble that's worth a few minutes of your time just to figure that out and if you want to be updated with my other new news letters then in the future then by all means.", "context": "Let's go to Victoria Jones do you have a prediction or a story of the week go ahead. Well first of all I just like to say yeah I've seen the little clips I think they're very good actually I think you know when our conversations are often averaging about an hour long I think it's a good way of kind of giving people giving people just to sniff it to what the conversation is it might draw the mid and encourage them to watch the long conversation so yeah I thought they were great as soon as I saw mother we have proof. So I thought that was great story of the week well I've been in France for two ", "price_at": 25868.56, "price_target": 25898.41, "target_date": "2023-09-08", "change_pct": 0.12, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 373, "date": "2023-09-01", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Very cool Victoria sounds like a great article always fun to read about the salsy bubble and especially the horrible troubles that Isaac Newton had I can always remember the chart it's a popular internet meme in my Bitcoin adult mind but it's something like Newton invests the price goes out.", "context": "So I thought that was great story of the week well I've been in France for two weeks so there's not been much related going on with me but on my website before I left my updated the latest newsletter which is about Bitcoin and what's it called the kind of remember the name when newsletter yes it's about the the self-sale bubble so extending on the idea of how fractional. I was a banking began with Bank of England I've then gone on to talk about how that introduction then led to share trading and the scandal that was a salsy bubble so I found that quite interesting to write and I'm sure a few p", "price_at": 25868.56, "price_target": 25898.41, "target_date": "2023-09-08", "change_pct": 0.12, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 373, "date": "2023-09-01", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "A bubble so it's quite interesting historical event but we're also the also yeah I mean especially when you relate it's Bitcoin and all the discussions because of course the tulip bubble happened before the salsy bubble but again the history connected with that is very interesting it's worth people who interested in Bitcoin learning about that sorry carry on.", "context": "There's a place to sign up at the bottom where you can be notified when the next thing comes out probably end of September for the next one. Very cool Victoria sounds like a great article always fun to read about the salsy bubble and especially the horrible troubles that Isaac Newton had I can always remember the chart it's a popular internet meme in my Bitcoin adult mind but it's something like Newton invests the price goes out. Newton sells very happy Newton's friends become billionaires Newton is unhappy reinvest price goes down Newton is very unhappy price goes down all the way Newton lose", "price_at": 25868.56, "price_target": 25898.41, "target_date": "2023-09-08", "change_pct": 0.12, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 380, "date": "2023-10-28", "panelist": "Dan Eve", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "So theoretically the price of Bitcoin should go up.", "context": "If you are in exchange and you're buying like 100 Bitcoin a week, maybe you can only get 75. This is a big problem for exchanges and it's something that naturally happens that Bitcoin as it's deflationary. There's less Bitcoin to buy every year. So theoretically the price of Bitcoin should go up. Dan Eve, what do you think about the deflationary nature of Bitcoin and the economy and the media figuring out that there's going to be a supply shock?", "price_at": 34535.38, "price_target": 35039.47, "target_date": "2023-11-04", "change_pct": 1.46, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 394, "date": "2024-02-03", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well yeah I mean like who wouldn't like to see a million dollar Bitcoin plus but yeah those predictions they run on the mill now right you know we've and and that's they're all nothing compared to the one that Ben informed us of which was like the 666 billion I can't remember it had so many so many numbers in it you know you lose count it was something like 12 zeros more than that right.", "context": "So yeah it just see these numbers I don't know it's like what will it reach one million and then just stop is that what happens it's reached a million now it's stopping there like these numbers is these numbers are dumb I just stop it. I do agree Josh this is kind of the decline of good articles so many times you'll be reading an article and they say someone says and then it turns out they just put up a quote on Twitter and it's just this Twitter post and then they'll do these talking to the crowd audiences where they really go out do some research and they quote five or 10 Twitter accounts in", "price_at": 42570.21, "price_target": 48311.16, "target_date": "2024-02-10", "change_pct": 13.49, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 405, "date": "2024-04-27", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "It's a no brainer it's a no brainer unfortunately though many of us earlier bitcoins big one is we we have to sell because we've got things to do we got you know rent to pay and electricity pay and stuff so it's not always a panacea but yeah it's it's definitely number go down which makes number go up technology.", "context": "How valuable is that one cake more valuable you fools so so yeah it's it's it's very different and it's amazing and let's see what happens. It really does seem like it's designed to do that Josh and you feel kind of crazy from the very beginning I remember when he went from 25 to 12 and a half Bitcoin for block reward and you're looking at the chart and you're like well it keeps going down and the number of units is locked at 21 million and I believe the programmers are pretty strong about not changing either of those two things and you need a huge consensus then the miners would have to agree", "price_at": 63111.34, "price_target": 64037.5, "target_date": "2024-05-04", "change_pct": 1.47, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 409, "date": "2024-05-25", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, I mean, the hypocrisy of it is what gets me because I remember very clearly the Trump campaign taking credit for crashing the Bitcoin bubble in 2017.", "context": "And it would be an advantage to everyone, even to them. But let's go some more on this, Victoria Jones. What do you think about President Trump accepting Bitcoin donations? Well, I mean, the hypocrisy of it is what gets me because I remember very clearly the Trump campaign taking credit for crashing the Bitcoin bubble in 2017. You know, there was a lot of controversy about it at the time and he's made many anti-Bitcoin statements in the past.", "price_at": 68488.29, "price_target": 67738.74, "target_date": "2024-06-01", "change_pct": -1.09, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 412, "date": "2024-06-15", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And the price will go down and you'll give up or something like that, some kind of white salon or black swan event will happen.", "context": "And now I really agree with Josh. I think that they're waiting until September so that they can get their investments lined up so that they can make sure that you sell your Ethereum to them and all these other things. And you'll be forced to do it. And the price will go down and you'll give up or something like that, some kind of white salon or black swan event will happen. And suddenly they'll end up with all the chips.", "price_at": 66631.59, "price_target": 63181.02, "target_date": "2024-06-22", "change_pct": -5.18, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 426, "date": "2024-10-12", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "But yeah, I think, I mean to be honest, if you pick a month and you say that's the month when Bitcoin goes up, there's going to be a whole bunch of traders who are going to buy Bitcoin, things are going to go up and then they're going to dump on the month where it goes down.", "context": "And yeah, I mean obviously with an inflation, you've got less purchasing power because you're everything's going to cost a little bit more and you're a bit poorer so you've got less disposable income. So I'm not sure quite sure how that would impact the price, how that would free up people's money to spend more. I suppose maybe it would prove right the argument is for Bitcoin and I suppose and having something outside of currencies away of hedging against inflation which is probably one of Bitcoin's main value propositions. But yeah, I think, I mean to be honest, if you pick a month and you sa", "price_at": 62854.48, "price_target": 69020.94, "target_date": "2024-10-19", "change_pct": 9.81, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 431, "date": "2024-11-16", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "No, no, no, I just think I think that we're going to see 100 K Bitcoin very, very soon.", "context": "We're going to head towards the end of the show. Dan, Eve, do you have a prediction or a story of the week? Go ahead. No, no, no, I just think I think that we're going to see 100 K Bitcoin very, very soon. We did a 9k Bitcoin jump in one day, which is the biggest ever.", "price_at": 89877.16, "price_target": 98018.2, "target_date": "2024-11-23", "change_pct": 9.06, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 432, "date": "2024-11-23", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Bitcoin will go down and I think he was stack his family at least someone in his family was stacking sets in that moment.", "context": "And meanwhile, I have seen tweets where his son is stacking sets. And so family wise, his son's buying and it used to be the point where when Peter Schiff tweeted, believe it or not, it actually moved the markets back in the day. So Peter Schiff would call it dirt and fudder. Bitcoin will go down and I think he was stack his family at least someone in his family was stacking sets in that moment. So the idea that he's a he's immediate, I don't buy it.", "price_at": 98018.2, "price_target": 97276.47, "target_date": "2024-11-30", "change_pct": -0.76, "result": "hit" }, { "episode": 446, "date": "2025-03-15", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Then I think that might give the market a little more faith in his decision making and then things like Bitcoin will go up.", "context": "And then I get destroyed in the market. Then arc higher or lower. I think Lop, unless there's some some event which shows to people that Trump isn't lunatic, maybe the Ukraine war thing stops. Then I think that might give the market a little more faith in his decision making and then things like Bitcoin will go up. But until that happens, we're just going to keep going.", "price_at": 82572.37, "price_target": 86091.67, "target_date": "2025-03-22", "change_pct": 4.26, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 451, "date": "2025-04-19", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "I think there's going to be more blood in the streets with the price and we're probably in a nice bear market, which are quite like a bear market.", "context": "I mean, yeah, 600, 600 billion in it or us, it's a point. I mean, of course, it's going to get to 150 at some point. It's like, yeah, we'll get there. I think there's going to be more blood in the streets with the price and we're probably in a nice bear market, which are quite like a bear market. So because you know, it sort of shakes out because when you look around the room in a bear market, you're like, all these people here, they're here because they love the technology and they believe in this thing.", "price_at": 85167.14, "price_target": 93777.44, "target_date": "2025-04-26", "change_pct": 10.11, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 454, "date": "2025-05-10", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well also ironic is that kind of statement isn't actually all that unique I mean I've got again a newsletter on my website called Bitcoin and the South Sea Bubble and one of the things I talk about is exactly you know how that came into being and of course it was right at the beginning of the invention of financial markets when people had no idea what they're really getting into and and crypto is kind of the same way you know we're inventing a whole new form of money and what happens in those situations is people get really embroiled in the excitement they think they've got this new thing and it can never go wrong but of course when it does go wrong it's devastating and in fact there's a quote from that time of the South Sea Bubble where you know people were setting up new companies right left and center in fact one advertises themselves as a company designed to do something of great import but no one to know what it is.", "context": "Also you can like there's these websites you can there's the Coinbase Health website whatever where if it ever has any downtime it'll publish it you know on it's the health of the status of the of Coinbase and you know for one of the reason they have to shut down outgoing transactions then they'll publish on this website and then for a scam it that's like that's great because that means you just keep an eye on that website and then whenever they throw out one of those warnings that they're going to have to pause withdrawing money from Coinbase that that is when you email all your customers or ", "price_at": 104124.02, "price_target": 106488.62, "target_date": "2025-05-17", "change_pct": 2.27, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 459, "date": "2025-06-14", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "down", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And like you say, Ben, they'll be the one standing around they've they've already said Michael Saylor just said we could go there will never be another Bitcoin bear market, which is a horrible thing to say if you don't want there to be another bear market.", "context": "I think I said it before. So it's good that that guy's using the same terminology, but yeah, systemic risk of having these essentially were futures, aren't they, I suppose. And it is the same story coming out of the other side that you can have infinite money forever that the price only goes up. And like you say, Ben, they'll be the one standing around they've they've already said Michael Saylor just said we could go there will never be another Bitcoin bear market, which is a horrible thing to say if you don't want there to be another bear market. Josh, should all of what do you think about Bi", "price_at": 105625.23, "price_target": 101015.42, "target_date": "2025-06-21", "change_pct": -4.36, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 461, "date": "2025-06-28", "panelist": "Ben Arc", "direction": "up", "conditional": true, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "We're going to issue three Texas ready for 10 million dollar Bitcoin purchase after governor signs bill for state reserve Texas is getting a Bitcoin reserve and they're going to contribute actively investing millions of dollars of the people's money into an unspendable Bitcoin reserve that can never be spent because it would be a disaster.", "context": "And you big titty bitches. I do just think though that it's so obvious if you've been watching the show for a little while we've gone from a point where normal person could own one Bitcoin or as the meme suggests perhaps 6.15 Bitcoin to now point one is suggested so if we follow this trajectory the next time that CZ will tweet this will be in five years and he'll say zero point zero one would get really tragic is our recall spending that for drinks and. Maybe a magnet at a Kings game and a variety of other incredibly small purchases that would not be significant wealth but likely in five years", "price_at": 108391.87, "price_target": 109233.93, "target_date": "2025-07-05", "change_pct": 0.78, "result": "inconclusive" }, { "episode": 462, "date": "2025-07-19", "panelist": "Victoria Jones", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And then we did, we did back to 1.5 or 500K, which by then will be called a crash Bitcoin will crash to 500K.", "context": "And I hate to quote and agree with Samson Mal, even though I think he's a cool guy, but maybe Bitcoin just takes off. Maybe all the things we've been saying for 10 years plus and everyone else out there has been saying for even longer just happens overnight and we go to a million and then they say, whoa, that's not enough. Two million, three million. And then we did, we did back to 1.5 or 500K, which by then will be called a crash Bitcoin will crash to 500K. Victoria Jones, all of the bullishness is in the room.", "price_at": 117328.61, "price_target": 119468.71, "target_date": "2025-07-26", "change_pct": 1.82, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 467, "date": "2025-09-13", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "And so this latest generation, I think, is going to have such a privilege of knowing about the downsides of fear, especially because of all the good work that people have done in the early days of spreading that knowledge and getting people involved in Bitcoin and not just understanding that it's some sort of money go up, number go up money.", "context": "So like the universe is your oyster with Bitcoin, especially as gold is just one of those assets. And Bitcoin covers such a broad range of, you know, that's just gold, right? There's also silver, there's also other precious metals, there's also other assets. And so this latest generation, I think, is going to have such a privilege of knowing about the downsides of fear, especially because of all the good work that people have done in the early days of spreading that knowledge and getting people involved in Bitcoin and not just understanding that it's some sort of money go up, number go up mone", "price_at": 115351.87, "price_target": 115299.83, "target_date": "2025-09-20", "change_pct": -0.05, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 472, "date": "2025-10-18", "panelist": "Thomas Hunt", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, I do think Dan that we've reached, I think it might have been CZ even who tweeted at one point Bitcoin will crash to 100 K and you'll be crying.", "context": "The order books are spread quite thin because there's so many exchanges now. There's like thousands of them. And then suddenly that creates this absolute, you know, crash with crazy panic going on. Well, I do think Dan that we've reached, I think it might have been CZ even who tweeted at one point Bitcoin will crash to 100 K and you'll be crying. So we got to that point, the crash to 100 K and you're right about the alt coins as well.", "price_at": 108701.79, "price_target": 114559.89, "target_date": "2025-10-25", "change_pct": 5.39, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 475, "date": "2025-12-20", "panelist": "Josh Scigala", "direction": "up", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, you can either say Bitcoin will go up or the global currencies go down in value and both the sure things because one happens when the other happens.", "context": "And we've also heard of a Bitcoin price prediction. Liquidity concentrates near $85,000 ahead of option expiry scheduled for December 25th, December 26th, the day after Christmas. Josh Shagalla, anything about everybody's favorite topic, the price, the price, the price, the price of Bitcoin. Well, you can either say Bitcoin will go up or the global currencies go down in value and both the sure things because one happens when the other happens. The fact is that Bitcoin was in a price discovery phase for the last ten years, it still is.", "price_at": 88647.8, "price_target": 87886.81, "target_date": "2025-12-27", "change_pct": -0.86, "result": "miss" }, { "episode": 476, "date": "2025-12-27", "panelist": "Vlad Costea", "direction": "down", "conditional": false, "horizon_days": 7, "horizon_label": "unspecified", "quote": "Well, not with it, my bubble, but I do understand that a large part of Latin America and the Middle East and pretty much a lot of the places that actually need Bitcoin are turning to stable coins and using them for daily transactions.", "context": "I want to ask the panel, Vlad Kasa, what's more important right now? Bitcoin or stable coins. Do you start to see another one of these narrative shifts similar to ICOs, blockchains, and now stable coins? Well, not with it, my bubble, but I do understand that a large part of Latin America and the Middle East and pretty much a lot of the places that actually need Bitcoin are turning to stable coins and using them for daily transactions. And they're sort of eating our lunch.", "price_at": 87886.81, "price_target": 91499.58, "target_date": "2026-01-03", "change_pct": 4.11, "result": "miss" } ] }